AI-generated · cited to primary sources · not investment advice · How we research
Our verdict on Amara Raja Ener. isn’t the consensus take — see where we landed, and the one risk the bull case glosses over.
See the verdict — free →Consolidated EBITDA margins have continued to decline, reaching 10.7% in Q1 FY26 compared to 14.2% in FY24. (4 missed, 1 in progress across 5 tracked commitments)
“At the entity level is what we definitely aspire on a run rate basis from here to move to a 13% EBITDA margin... thereafter in the long term, I think we should again move back to our original EBITDA margin of 14% over a period of time.”
Export volumes remained subdued during the quarter due to global trade and tariff uncertainties, failing to show the expected recovery. (1 missed across 1 tracked commitment)
“We hope this revised scenario will settle down in the next one or two quarters, and then we'll again be back on a growth momentum.”
The company expects to commence scrap recycling battery breaking operations in January. — target: Commencement of operations (+2 more commitments)
“The scrap recycling battery breaking operations right now, we are expecting that we will commence sometime in the month of January.”
The company expects the automotive aftermarket to grow by 6% to 7% for 4-wheelers and 10% to 11% for 2-wheelers on an annualized basis. — target: 6-7% (4W), 10-11% (2W)
“we expect the aftermarket to grow around 6% to 7% kind of a number. And whereas the 2-wheeler might grow around 10% to 11% that's the growth number that we are expecting”
Management expects New Energy to contribute 5% of overall revenue by the end of the current financial year and 7% to 8% in the next year. — target: 5% (FY26) and 7-8% (FY27)
“We expect that we should actually move to a 5% kind of overall revenue share for the New Energy by end of this financial year. Maybe next year we have plan to go as what we are thinking right now, to at least move to a 7% to 8% kind of a number.”
See the full cited Management analysis of Amara Raja Ener.
The company is deepening its vertical integration with the commencement of refining operations at the Cheyyar recycling plant, though battery breaking is still in trial runs. (4 expanding)
“Our lead recycling plant led to a margin accretion of around 0.6% at EBITDA level during the quarter.”
The lead acid business remains the dominant engine, contributing 95% of consolidated revenue in Q4 FY25, up from 93% previously. While overall revenue grew 5% YoY, the telecom segment saw a 15% degrowth, which was offset by strong 15% growth in OEM volumes and 9% in domestic aftermarket. (1 expanding, 1 stable)
“Leading Automotive Battery Brand... Strong Brand recall... Market Leader in Telecom and Data Centre Industry”
The New Energy segment (reported as 'Other Business') continues its rapid expansion, growing nearly 69% YoY as it scales EV charger and battery pack assembly. (4 expanding, 1 contracting across 1 engine)
“Other Business Revenue (INR Mn) Q3 FY26: 2,364 (7%). First quarter to cross the Rs. 200 crore revenue milestone”
The company's vertical integration strategy is expanding with the lead recycling plant commencing commercial operations in Q4. This is expected to improve margins by reducing reliance on external lead and alloy sourcing. (3 expanding, 2 contracting across 1 engine)
“Lead Acid Business Revenue (INR Mn) Q3 FY26: 31,738 (93%). LAB EBITDA % Q3-FY26: 12.3%”
Export revenue grew by 8.5% year-on-year, although its share of total revenue remained stable at roughly 12.4%. The company is targeting presence in 80+ countries by FY30. (2 expanding, 3 contracting)
“GEOGRAPHICAL REVENUE SPLIT (%) Exports Q3 FY26: 12% (3,996 Mn)”
See the full cited Business Model analysis of Amara Raja Ener.
The lubricants business is gaining traction, contributing Rs. 40 crores in the current quarter and showing significant bottom-line contribution. (3 steady across 3 signals)
“Lubes continue to clock Rs. 50 crore revenue during the quarter in domestic market”
OEM volumes for both 4-wheelers and 2-wheelers grew by approximately 30% YoY in Q2, though management expects this to normalize in subsequent quarters following the festive ramp-up. (2 accelerating, 2 decelerating, 1 steady across 5 signals)
“4W OEM volumes sustained the double-digit growth”
The tubular battery plant reinstatement is on track with commercial production starting in June 2025, which will replace traded goods with higher-margin in-house products. (1 new trend across 1 signal)
“Our lead recycling plant led to a margin accretion of around 0.6% at EBITDA level during the quarter... The battery breaking is going to start from Q4.”
The lubricants business is showing rapid expansion, with volumes doubling compared to the previous year. (1 accelerating, 2 steady across 3 signals, 1 leading indicator)
“ARE&M* to set up Battery Energy Storage System (BESS)Manufacturing - Giga Factory... SOP- End of FY2027/Q1- FY28... Capex Outlay- ₹280 crores”
The company is planning to set up a small subsidiary in the United States to help stabilize and grow its business there despite current trade and tariff challenges.
“So there are certain steps that we are taking in that regard, which is where we are trying to now look at to form a small subsidiary to start with and then see how it can help stabilize. And then improve our business in the U.S.”
See the full cited Future Growth analysis of Amara Raja Ener.
The risk is stable at a lower level; ROCE is reported at ~16% as of FY25 end, down from previous highs, reflecting the heavy investment phase in New Energy. (1 stable)
“ROCE (%) & ROE (%) ... FY24 19.2% ... FY25 16.2%”
The risk remains high but is transitioning into an execution phase with construction commenced on the first 4 GWh phase of the Giga-Cell factory and the Customer Qualification Plant expected to commence operations in Q3/Q4-FY26. (1 stable, 1 easing)
“So if NMC chemistry is going to be completely irrelevant, there will be certain at least even in the export markets, there could be some demand that will definitely be there for NMC.”
The risk is easing as the refinery portion of the Cheyyar plant is already operational, and the 'battery breaking' phase is now scheduled for Q3-FY26. (3 easing, 2 emerging)
“Exceptional expense in Q3-FY26 arises from enactment of new Labour Code legislations”
OEM mix remained high (4-wheeler OEM growth at 25% vs 3% aftermarket), which moderates margin expansion due to lower pricing power compared to the aftermarket. (1 stable)
“even the OEM mix being higher during the quarter... added to the moderation margin expansion.”
OEM demand grew by a massive 30%, which is typically margin-dilutive. However, margins were supported by a favorable product mix in the aftermarket and lower raw material costs, keeping the risk stable. (1 stable)
“OEM volumes have grown about 30% during the quarter... whereas the aftermarket volumes remained stable”
See the full cited Risk analysis of Amara Raja Ener.
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