Company AnalysisAnalysis as of 18 May 2026

AI-generated · cited to primary sources · not investment advice · How we research

SBI

BSE:500112
NSE:SBIN
Our Conviction
/100
Verdict locked
Mgmt
Business
Growth
Risk
Scenarios

Our verdict on SBI isn’t the consensus take — see where we landed, and the one risk the bull case glosses over.

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01 · Management Credibility

Does management do what it says?

ExceededIBC Resolution and NPA Writeback Income
100/100

Recovery from AUCA accounts reached ₹2,604 crores in Q3FY26, exceeding the quarterly target of ₹2,000 crores. (1 exceeded across 1 tracked commitment)

Recovery from AUCA accounts at ₹2,604 crores in Q3FY26

SBI · Investor PPT · Feb 2026 · p.17
ExceededReturn on Assets ROA
94/100

The bank delivered an ROA of 1.15% and an ROE of 20.21% for H1FY26, both exceeding the structural targets. (3 exceeded, 2 met across 5 tracked commitments)

I think we still stick to that 1% guidance. I do not want to jump the gun at this juncture... We want to be consistent on the ROA front. I think the guidance will remain at 1%.

SBI · Concall Transcript · Feb 2026 · p.25

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02 · Business Model

How durable is the business?

Digital Transformation and Tech Modernization
83/100

SBI is expanding its digital moat by launching Project SARAL to automate retail operations and is building its own AI stack for underwriting and risk scoring, aiming to keep the cost-to-income ratio below 50%. (5 expanding)

10.02 crore registered users on YONO, 66% of savings account opened through YONO in FY26

SBI · Investor PPT · May 2026 · p.6
Record Profitability Cycle FY23-FY26
83/100

SBI continues to leverage its scale, maintaining a 22.17% share of domestic deposits and 19.24% of advances. It added 14 bps of incremental loan market share YoY, specifically in high-return segments like mortgages. (5 expanding)

Total Business crossed ₹ 109 Trillion; Deposits at ₹ 59.8 lakh crore; Advances at ₹ 49.3 lakh crore... Sustained domestic market share of over 22%

SBI · Investor PPT · May 2026 · p.6

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03 · Future Growth

Where does growth come from?

Record Profitability Cycle FY23-FY26
77/100

Credit growth is showing signs of acceleration in the second quarter after a slower start to the year, with management reporting a reversal of negative trends seen in Q1. (5 accelerating across 5 signals)

Whole Bank advances registered YoY Growth of 16.87% and portfolio crossed ₹49 trillion. Robust retail advances growth YoY, led by SME 20.99%, Agri 19.68% and Retail Per 15.22%

SBI · Investor PPT · May 2026 · p.8
Other Findings
77/100

Fee income growth is accelerating significantly, jumping from 10.91% YoY in Q1FY26 compared to a much lower sequential growth rate. Cross-selling and Misc. Fee Income are the primary drivers. (5 accelerating across 5 signals)

Fee Income grew by 14.17% YoY in FY26 ... Loan Processing Charges 28.17% growth

SBI · Investor PPT · May 2026 · p.17

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04 · Risk

What could break the thesis?

CASA Ratio and Quality
65/100

Cost of deposits increased due to a significant shift toward fixed deposits (14% growth) and a decline in the CASA ratio. Repricing of the FD book is expected to take 8-12 months. (4 intensifying, 1 easing)

CASA 9.53%; Retail Term Deposits 14.77%

SBI · Investor PPT · May 2026 · p.9
Record Profitability Cycle FY23-FY26
60/100

NIM compression is intensifying. Whole Bank NIM dropped to 2.90% in Q1FY26 from 3.22% in Q1FY25 (a 32 bps decline). Domestic NIM also fell 33 bps YoY to 3.02%. (2 intensifying, 2 easing, 1 stable)

Return on Equity (%) 19.87 18.57 -130 bps

SBI · Investor PPT · May 2026 · p.9

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