Analysis published 19 Jun 2026

AI-generated · cited to primary sources · not investment advice

I O C L (530965) Aug 2025 Filing Analysis

01 · Management Credibility

Does management do what it says?

MissedFuel Retail Network Scale Moat
30/100

The company commissioned 2,597 retail outlets during the year, falling significantly short of the >4,000 target. (1 missed across 1 tracked commitment)

During financial year '25-'26, we plan to set up more than 4,000 retail outlets.

I O C L · Concall Transcript · Aug 2025 · p.5

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04 · Risk

What could break the thesis?

Reported Gross Refining Margin ($/bbl)

The risk is EASING. Management has resumed providing specific GRM figures, reporting a GRM of $2.15/bbl (impacted by inventory) and a normalized GRM of $6.91/bbl. (3 easing, 1 resolved, 1 stable)

The report GRM of $2.15 per barrel during this quarter is lower... However, the normalized GRM for the quarter at $6.91 per barrel is better.

I O C L · Concall Transcript · Aug 2025 · p.4
Growing Russian Crude Import Dependence

The risk is STABLE. While geopolitical factors are mentioned as cooling crude prices, the company has increased its reliance on Russian crude to 24% of its basket to optimize costs. (2 stable)

we almost processed 22% Russian crude oil, which in quarter 1, it got increased to 24%.

I O C L · Concall Transcript · Aug 2025 · p.6

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