AI-generated · cited to primary sources · not investment advice · How we research
Our verdict on Coforge isn’t the consensus take — see where we landed, and the one risk the bull case glosses over.
See the verdict — free →The company is targeting to make its entire workforce AI-enabled through rigorous talent development efforts. — target: 100% of workforce
“Rigorous talent devp. efforts to ensure entire workforce is AI-enabled”
North America business is expected to grow by approximately 50% to reach $1.4 billion post-acquisition. — target: $1.4 billion
“Coforge’s North America business is expected to jump by around 50% to $1.4 billion post acquisition.”
The company expects to achieve robust revenue growth in the upcoming fiscal year. — target: robust revenue growth (+1 more commitment)
“We expect to deliver robust revenue growth in FY27”
Targeting specific revenue scales for product engineering, cloud, and data engineering by FY27. — target: $1.25 billion (Product Engineering), $500 million (Cloud), $250 million (Data)
“AI-led product engineering business for the firm is likely to be a US $1.25 billion plus business in FY2027, cloud services, a $500 million business, and data engineering, a quarter of a billion, US$250 million business.”
Management maintains a focus on industry-leading low attrition levels as a core part of its organizational culture.
“IT Attrition (LTM) stood at 11.3%. Continues to be amongst the lowest in the IT services industry”
See the full cited Management analysis of Coforge
The company is adding 9,200 associates, including 3,100 near-shore LATAM-based SMEs, which shifts the delivery model toward a 'human + agent' paradigm with higher revenue per employee. (2 expanding, 1 new)
“what are the total number of associates which will come on board after this transaction? Saurabh Goel: 9,200”
Coforge expanded its AI moat by launching 'AgentSphere' (100+ agents) and 'Forge-X', moving from experimentation to a unified delivery platform for software development. (2 expanding, 1 shifted across 1 engine)
“Horizontal: Intelligent Automation 8.4% (Q4FY26)... Horizontal Growth YoY: Intelligent Automation 23.7%”
Engineering remains the largest service offering and is expanding rapidly, with its revenue share increasing from 45.1% to 45.9% and delivering 121% YoY growth. (3 expanding, 1 contracting)
“Engineering 45.9%... YOY 121.0%”
Utilization remains stable at 82.1%, within the target range, while attrition has significantly improved to 11.3%, one of the lowest in the industry. (1 stable)
“We have invested significantly in training 30K+ engineers to deliver AI at scale, along with developing a specialized pool of 100+ forward deployed engineers”
EMEA revenue share has slightly increased to 29.8% from 28.3%, though it shows slower growth compared to other regions. (1 expanding, 1 contracting across 1 engine)
“Horizontal: Business Process Management (BPM) 8.0% (Q4FY26)... Horizontal Growth YoY: Business Process Management (BPM) 33.7%”
See the full cited Business Model analysis of Coforge
Coforge is seeing explosive growth in its Healthcare and Hi-Tech business segments, which are growing much faster than its traditional banking business. — Healthcare & HiTech Vertical Growth: 78.4% YoY
“Healthcare & HiTech: 15.5% QoQ, 78.4% YoY”
EBITDA margins are showing a recovery trend on a quarter-over-quarter basis, rising from 16.9% to 17.5%, though they remain slightly below the previous year's peak. (2 accelerating, 3 steady across 5 signals)
“EBIT margin 16.6% — highest-ever quarterly print. ... AI led efficiencies provide path for further margin expansion in FY27.”
The acquisition of Encora has dramatically increased the company's presence and revenue potential in the North American market.
“Our recent acquisition of Encora has only further accelerated our AI capabilities, and opened up a new chapter of growth... ~50% Increase in Coforge’s NA revenue”
Emerging verticals (Healthcare/Retail) showed explosive annual growth of 67.9%, though they experienced a temporary sequential decline in the final quarter. (1 decelerating, 1 steady, 1 accelerating across 3 signals)
“Other emerging verticals, including healthcare and retail grew by 67.9% in dollar terms. ... Other emerging verticals declined 8.3% Q-o-Q in dollar terms.”
Large deal momentum is accelerating, with 14 deals signed throughout the year and a record 5 deals signed in the final quarter alone. (3 accelerating, 1 steady, 1 decelerating across 5 signals)
“Our growth in fiscal year 2025 has been large deals led and has come off the back of 14 large deals signed through the year. The deal momentum has kept accelerating every quarter over the last four quarters with five large deals signed in the most recent quarter.”
See the full cited Future Growth analysis of Coforge
Coforge is aggressively pivoting to AI-led delivery with platforms like Quasar and Forge-X, aiming to capture 'change' budgets rather than just 'run' budgets. (4 easing, 1 high-severity)
“Buyer mindsets are shifting from effort to outcomes, making FTE-based pricing models obsolete”
Risk is intensifying as client concentration has increased year-on-year. Top 5 clients now contribute 21.8% of Q4 revenue (up from 18.3% in Q4FY25) and Top 10 contribute 31.4% (up from 27.9% in Q4FY25). (2 intensifying, 1 easing, 2 stable, 2 high-severity)
“Top 10 clients contributes 31.4% of Q4 revenue and 30.8% of FY26 revenue.”
Balance sheet vulnerability is intensifying as Goodwill increased to INR 41,048 Mn (up from INR 38,430 Mn in March 2025) following further acquisition activity. (3 intensifying, 1 stable)
“Goodwill: 41,671; Intangible Assets related to acquired business: 12,181”
Subcontractor expenses increased this quarter due to the Cigniti acquisition and the ramp-up of a massive new deal (Sabre), which required rapid staffing. (3 intensifying, 1 easing)
“Sub-contractor cost: FY26 17,870 vs FY25 11,090; YoY% 61.1%”
Attrition has improved further to 11.3%, which is among the lowest in the industry, reducing the risk of execution delays. (3 easing, 1 stable)
“LTM attrition rate stood at 10.8%”
See the full cited Risk analysis of Coforge
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