Analysis published 24 Aug 2026

AI-generated · cited to primary sources · not investment advice

Vintage Coffee (538920) Feb 2026 Filing Analysis

01 · Management Credibility

Does management do what it says?

In progressOther Findings
73/100

The additional 4,500 MT capacity was commissioned in March 2026, and total installed capacity reached 11,000 MT by the end of FY26. (1 met, 1 in progress across 2 tracked commitments)

The company is going to commission the additional capacity of 4,500 MTPA Spray-Dried and Agglomerated Coffee by the end of FY26, taking total capacity to 11,000 MTPA from the current 6,500 MTPA.

Vintage Coffee · Investor PPT · Feb 2026 · p.24
Commodity Price and Inventory Valuation Risk

Use quarterly pricing adjustments and cost-plus contracts to pass through coffee-price changes and protect profitability. — target: Pass on average coffee-price changes in the subsequent quarter, with prices fixed for three months.

We enter into contracts for the entire year for committed quantities, with prices determined and fixed on a quarterly basis. Once we fix the prices for a quarter, they remain valid for three months ... Accordingly, this adjustment is reflected in the subsequent quarter.

Vintage Coffee · Concall Transcript · Feb 2026 · p.12
Supplier Diversity and Global Sourcing Advantage

Increase imported coffee-bean sourcing, particularly from Uganda and Indonesia, to diversify raw-material procurement. — target: Move toward approximately 60% Indian beans and 40% imported beans, versus the current 80%-85% domestic and 15%-20% imported mix.

We are targeting to get this additional coffee beans, imported coffee beans, typically from the countries like in African countries. Uganda is the country which produces the Robusta coffee ... And also Indonesia Robusta coffee. And we are targeting these to add maybe Q2 of this FY '27.

Vintage Coffee · Concall Transcript · Feb 2026 · p.17

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02 · Business Model

How durable is the business?

Manufacturing Expansion Driving Input Material Demand
70/100

Freeze-dried coffee was not yet a revenue stream in Q3 FY26, but it became a major planned growth engine. The company was preparing a 5,500-metric-ton-per-year facility, expected to begin commercial production in FY27. Management expects realization to be about 30%–40% above spray-dried coffee and first-year utilization of roughly 65%–70%. (2 new)

By next FY '27, we should be in a position to commence commercial production of this freeze-dried coffee, which is a super-premium product.

Vintage Coffee · Concall Transcript · Feb 2026 · p.5

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03 · Future Growth

Where does growth come from?

ROCE and Asset Turnover Ratio

Profitability has improved materially in the latest reported period: Q3 EBITDA rose 79% year on year to Rs. 28.7 crore, with margin at 19.1%, while nine-month EBITDA rose 105% to Rs. 69.1 crore, with margin at 17.8%. The company is also increasing consumer-pack sales from roughly 10%-15% two years ago to about 50%-55% currently and targeting 65%-70% going forward. This mix shift, together with fixed-cost absorption from the new capacity, supports an accelerating profitability trend. (1 accelerating across 1 signal)

EBITDA for the quarter increased by 79% year-on-year to INR287 million ... with EBITDA margin improving to 19.1%. ... EBITDA for 9 months FY 26 stood at INR691 million, reflecting a growth of 105% year-on-year with margin expanding to 17.8%. ... two years ago, we were doing almost 80%-85% in bulk and 10%-15% in consumer packs. Today, we are doing almost 50%-55% in consumer packs ... planning to do 70% in consumer packs.

Vintage Coffee · Concall Transcript · Feb 2026 · p.4

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