Company AnalysisAnalysis as of 05 Jun 2026

AI-generated · cited to primary sources · not investment advice · How we research

IDFC First Bank

BSE:539437
NSE:IDFCFIRSTB

Our verdict on IDFC First Bank isn’t the consensus take — see where we landed, and the one risk the bull case glosses over.

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01 · Management Credibility

Does management do what it says?

ExceededNet Interest Margin (NIM)
80/100

NIM improved sequentially in Q3 FY26 to 5.76% from 5.59% in Q2 FY26, moving closer to the Q4 target of 5.8%. (1 in progress, 1 exceeded across 2 tracked commitments)

we also expect improvement in net interest margin during the fourth quarter... But this quarter we expect to be 5.8%.

IDFC First Bank · Concall Transcript · Feb 2026 · p.4
In progressCredit Deposit CD Ratio
73/100

The CD ratio has reached the target 'early 90s' range, standing at 93.9% as of Dec-25. (1 met, 1 in progress across 2 tracked commitments)

Credit deposit ratio has now touched 94-ish-odd percent, which I'm pretty sure will come down to the 80% maybe early 90s by end of this year and certainly going into the 80s by next year.

IDFC First Bank · Concall Transcript · Jul 2025 · p.7
In progressUnsecured Lending Stress Buildup
60/100

MFI stress is showing clear signs of stabilization with the SMA pool declining 32% QoQ and gross slippages reducing from Rs. 249 Cr to Rs. 153 Cr. (1 in progress across 1 tracked commitment)

SMA pool has declined by 32% in Q3 FY26 which indicates improving portfolio health of microfinance business

IDFC First Bank · Investor PPT · Feb 2026 · p.34
MissedProvisioning Coverage and Counter-Cyclical Buffers (PRINCIPLE)
30/100

The full-year credit cost for FY26 stood at 2.13%, slightly missing the upper end of the 2.05%-2.1% guidance range. (1 missed across 1 tracked commitment)

For the FY26, Credit cost of the Bank stood at 2.13%, improving 33 bps since last year.

IDFC First Bank · Investor PPT · Apr 2026 · p.42
RBI Monetary Policy and Rate Cuts

The Bank expects Assets Operating Profits % to increase as current repo rate cuts have been fully passed on and portfolio mix stabilizes. — target: Increase in Operating Profit %

Assets Operating Profits % are expected to increase from here on as current repo rate cuts have fully been passed on, improvement in CoF, and as portfolio mix stabilises.

IDFC First Bank · Investor PPT · Feb 2026 · p.49

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02 · Business Model

How durable is the business?

Retail vs Corporate Loan Mix
77/100

Retail Finance continues to expand, reaching a 58% share of the total loan book with 17.4% YoY growth, driven by mortgage and vehicle loans. (5 expanding across 3 engines)

Retail Finance | Mar-26: 1,71,459 | YoY (%): 21.3%

IDFC First Bank · Investor PPT · Apr 2026 · p.21
AI and GenAI Adoption in Banking
70/100

The bank is shifting its control environment to include AI-based verification for physical transactions to prevent future manual fraud and collusion. (1 new)

But now we will put a system whereby through AI, AI will do a initial checking and then it will be double confirmed by the human.

IDFC First Bank · Concall Transcript · Feb 2026 · p.6
Gross NPA and Slippage Ratio
60/100

Asset quality saw a marginal uptick in Gross NPA (GNPA) to 1.97%, primarily driven by the MFI segment and one specific corporate case (ATM service provider). Provision coverage remains stable and healthy. (2 stable)

gross NPA of the bank increased marginally from 1.87% in March to 1.97% in June... Provision coverage for the bank continues to be quite healthy at about 72.3%.

IDFC First Bank · Concall Transcript · Jul 2025 · p.4
Provisioning Coverage and Counter-Cyclical Buffers
55/100

The bank's buffer remains stable and strong with a Provision Coverage Ratio of 72.3%, despite a marginal increase in NPAs. (3 stable, 1 expanding)

Provision Coverage Ratio stood at 70.46% as on March 31, 2026 as compared to 69.08% as on December 31, 2025

IDFC First Bank · Investor PPT · Apr 2026 · p.41
Credit Deposit CD Ratio
50/100

The Credit-to-Deposit (CD) ratio is being actively managed downwards to improve liquidity, falling from 98.1% to 93.4%, with a long-term target in the 80s. (1 shifted)

We continue to bring down the credit-to-deposit ratio that is now down to 93.4% at June '25. This was at 98.1% in June of last year.

IDFC First Bank · Concall Transcript · Jul 2025 · p.3

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03 · Future Growth

Where does growth come from?

Net Interest Margin
66/100

The bank's cost of funds is steadily converging toward the industry average, having reduced the premium paid over other scheduled commercial banks from 280 bps to 60 bps. (2 steady, 1 reversing, 1 accelerating across 4 signals)

Cost of Funds (Q4-FY26) 6.00% (-51 bps YoY | -11 bps QoQ)

IDFC First Bank · Investor PPT · Apr 2026 · p.3
Gross NPA and Slippage Ratio
47/100

Asset quality has reached a historic best, with the percentage of bad loans (GNPA) falling to its lowest level since the bank was formed. — Gross NPA Ratio: -26 bps YoY

GNPA ratio 1.61% (-26 bps YoY | -8 bps QoQ)

IDFC First Bank · Investor PPT · Apr 2026 · p.3
Unsecured Lending Stress Buildup
18/100

Growth was temporarily slowed by a crisis in the microfinance (MFI) industry, leading to a sharp reduction in that specific loan book, though other segments compensated for the drop. — Micro-finance Loans: -30.4% YoY

Of which Micro-finance Loans 9,571 (Mar-25) 6,662 (Mar-26) -30.4% YoY

IDFC First Bank · Investor PPT · Apr 2026 · p.21
Credit Growth Cycle Acceleration

Loan growth is accelerating as the bank exits its 'stabilization' phase, with the portfolio reaching Rs. 2,53,233 Cr. Growth is driven by retail and business finance, which now dominate the mix. (1 accelerating, 1 steady across 2 signals)

Loan growth started after building strong deposit franchise... Jun-25 vs Jun-24 Rs. 43,872 Cr (21.0%)

IDFC First Bank · Investor PPT · Jul 2025 · p.36
RBI Monetary Policy and Rate Cuts

Cost of funds is declining (down 9 bps sequentially to 6.42%) as the bank aggressively cuts fixed deposit rates by up to 115 basis points to align with large peers. (1 accelerating across 1 signal)

the cost of funds for the quarter was at 6.42%, and this declined by about 9 bps during the quarter... we have drastically reduced the peak TD rates in this quarter as compared to March quarter.

IDFC First Bank · Concall Transcript · Jul 2025 · p.3

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04 · Risk

What could break the thesis?

Net Interest Margin
52/100

NIM has compressed further to 5.71% from 5.95% in the previous quarter, intensified by the passing on of repo rate cuts to customers while deposit repricing lags. (3 intensifying, 2 easing)

In FY25 and FY26, the NIM reduced from the peak levels due to drastic reduction of Micro-finance book due to the industry crisis.

IDFC First Bank · Investor PPT · Apr 2026 · p.50
Other Findings
37/100

The risk is being resolved through a significant capital raise. While the current CET-1 is 12.80%, a fresh capital raise of INR 7,500 crores is underway. (2 easing, 1 intensifying, 1 resolved)

CET-1 Ratio (%) Mar-26 13.73% [vs] Dec-25 14.23%

IDFC First Bank · Investor PPT · Apr 2026 · p.58
Expected Credit Loss Framework Transition

The CET-1 ratio declined from 14.23% in Dec-25 to 13.73% in Mar-26, and Total CRAR fell from 16.22% to 15.60% QoQ. (1 intensifying)

CET-1 Ratio (%) Dec-25 14.23% Mar-26 13.73%

IDFC First Bank · Investor PPT · Apr 2026 · p.58
Technology and Digital Banking Leadership

The C:I ratio remains high at 74% (excluding trading gains), showing a slight increase from the previous year's average, though management targets a reduction to 65% by FY27. (4 stable, 1 easing)

Overall Bank C:I ratio Trend: (excl. trading gain) ... Q1FY26 74%. At an overall Bank level, the C:I planned to improve to ~65% by FY27 because of scale.

IDFC First Bank · Investor PPT · Jul 2025 · p.66
Provisioning Coverage and Counter-Cyclical Buffers

Management emphasizes that the bank remains 'well capitalized' and maintains capital adequacy significantly above regulatory requirements to subsume the impact of the fraud incident. (1 stable)

Again want to assure that the bank is well capitalized... our net worth is over INR46,000 crores.

IDFC First Bank · Concall Transcript · Feb 2026 · p.3

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Filing Analysis by Period

IDFC First Bank analysis by filing period

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