Analysis published 23 Jul 2026

AI-generated · cited to primary sources · not investment advice

One 97 (543396) Nov 2025 Filing Analysis

01 · Management Credibility

Does management do what it says?

ExceededOther Findings
88/100

Actual ESOP costs for FY 2026 came in significantly lower than the guided range due to attrition-related lapses, which is positive for cost control. (1 exceeded, 4 met across 5 tracked commitments)

I think we have mentioned in the release that for the rest of the year, we expect this to be range bound.

One 97 · Concall Transcript · Nov 2025 · p.5
Insurance Tech Regulatory Sandbox Expansion

Management plans to scale the insurance business as part of the financial services stack over the next three years. — target: Integration into stack

And then in due course, hopefully, we are able to make insurance also as a part of this stack. So this stack now in next three years, we'll start to show, we'll try finding which countries can go in a different working model.

One 97 · Concall Transcript · Nov 2025 · p.3
UPI Dominance and Expansion

Management expects international expansion initiatives to start contributing meaningfully to the business in the long term. — target: meaningful contribution

We expect this initiative to start contributing meaningfully after 2-3 years (more details provided later in the note)

One 97 · Investor PPT · Nov 2025 · p.4

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02 · Business Model

How durable is the business?

UPI Dominance and Expansion
80/100

Paytm is expanding its international strategy by offering its full technology stack (software and hardware) to global partners, similar to the PayPay model in Japan. (2 expanding)

Paytm has built a payment acceptance and hardware, software, and services stack, and we will give it to a partner who will run in that country. This is like PayPay.

One 97 · Concall Transcript · Nov 2025 · p.15

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03 · Future Growth

Where does growth come from?

Embedded Finance and BaaS Growth

The relaunch of Paytm Postpaid as a 'Spend Now, Pay Next Month' UPI overdraft is a new trend aimed at driving consumer credit growth through bank partnerships. (1 new trend across 1 signal)

In our consumer credit segment, we relaunched Paytm Postpaid offering. A ‘Spend Now, Pay Next Month’ UPI overdraft for Paytm customers

One 97 · Investor PPT · Nov 2025 · p.6

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04 · Risk

What could break the thesis?

90+ Day Delinquency Rate

The risk is stable; while revenue from financial services grew 63% YoY, the company is seeing high repeat rates (50%) and is relying on AI models to predict churn and delinquencies to manage asset quality. (3 stable)

More than 50% of loans were issued to repeat borrowers... supported by Paytm’s advanced AI models that intelligently predict merchant churn and delinquencies

One 97 · Investor PPT · Nov 2025 · p.6

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