Analysis published 16 May 2026

AI-generated · cited to primary sources · not investment advice

Data Pattern (543428) May 2026 Filing Analysis

01 · Management Credibility

Does management do what it says?

Indigenous Content Requirements

Focus on developing full systems from in-house building blocks to address a larger Total Addressable Market (TAM).

Moving up the Value Chain through building Full Systems : Using reusable building blocks... Concentration on building full products leveraging existing Domain expertise and availability of in-house building blocks

Data Pattern · Investor PPT · May 2026 · p.6
Long Gestation R&D Investment

The company plans to invest an additional Rs 150 crore in capex over the next two years. — target: Rs 150crs (+4 more commitments)

Planning for additional Rs 150crs capex over next two years

Data Pattern · Investor PPT · May 2026 · p.6

See the full cited Management analysis of Data Pattern

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02 · Business Model

How durable is the business?

Indigenous Content Requirements
83/100

The company is strengthening its moat by transitioning from a subsystem supplier to a full systems and solution provider, leveraging in-house IP to maintain high EBITDA margins (44%). (1 expanding)

Moving up the Value Chain through building Full Systems : Using reusable building blocks... designed in-house with IP

Data Pattern · Investor PPT · May 2026 · p.6
Order Book Execution Visibility
83/100

The company is transitioning from a subsystem supplier to a full systems integrator, specifically in EW and Radar, which is driving significant revenue growth despite short-term margin dilution from a large strategic project. (4 expanding)

Our order book stands at an all-time high of ~₹2,062 crores, the highest in the Company’s history, providing strong revenue visibility over the coming years.

Data Pattern · Investor PPT · May 2026 · p.9
Other Findings
83/100

Radar systems have seen a massive expansion in revenue share, becoming the dominant revenue driver for the quarter. (5 expanding across 3 engines)

EW 48.5% Rs 3,448 Mn

Data Pattern · Investor PPT · May 2026 · p.12
Working Capital Days and Cash Conversion
66/100

The company maintains its debt-free status despite high working capital days (343 days), which management expects to improve as they move from development to production orders. (2 stable)

Strong Balance Sheet; Net Debt Free Company. Rs. 4,227 Mn Cash, Bank & Investment

Data Pattern · Investor PPT · May 2026 · p.10
Export Revenue as Percentage of Total
55/100

Export revenue share has remained relatively stable but shows a slight upward trend as the company builds a marketing organization for international markets. (4 stable, 1 contracting)

Export 9.5% Rs 3,448 Mn

Data Pattern · Investor PPT · May 2026 · p.12

See the full cited Business Model analysis of Data Pattern

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03 · Future Growth

Where does growth come from?

Atmanirbhar Bharat Self-Reliance Push
76/100

The shift toward high-volume production is accelerating. Production revenue share reached 76% in Q1 FY26, significantly higher than the 53% average in FY25. (2 accelerating, 1 new trend across 3 signals)

Continuing the product development to build full systems to address larger TAM.

Data Pattern · Investor PPT · May 2026 · p.8
Other Findings
76/100

The company is accelerating its capital expenditure, planning to spend Rs 150 cr in the next two years, nearly matching the total spent over the previous five years (Rs 160 cr). (5 accelerating across 5 signals, 1 leading indicator)

Production FY25 53% FY26 58%

Data Pattern · Investor PPT · May 2026 · p.11
Order Book to Revenue Ratio
72/100

The order book has reached a record high of INR 1,079 crores, supported by INR 320 crores in new orders since the start of the fiscal year. This represents a significant acceleration in order intake compared to previous periods. (3 accelerating, 1 decelerating, 1 steady across 5 signals)

Rs. 9,265 Mn Order Book (Q4FY26)

Data Pattern · Investor PPT · May 2026 · p.10
Order Book Execution Visibility
71/100

Management is signaling a massive acceleration in order inflows, projecting a pipeline of Rs 20-30bn over the next 18-24 months, which would dwarf current annual revenues. (4 accelerating, 1 new trend across 5 signals)

Strong Order Book in Pipeline at Rs 20-40bn over next 24 months.

Data Pattern · Investor PPT · May 2026 · p.8
Long Gestation R&D Investment
64/100

The revenue mix is shifting toward 'Production' (53% in FY25) and 'Development' (43% in FY25), indicating the company is successfully moving products from the lab to the field. (3 steady, 1 reversing across 4 signals, 1 leading indicator)

More than Rs 131 cr invested on new product development ; which are at advanced stage of readiness

Data Pattern · Investor PPT · May 2026 · p.6

See the full cited Future Growth analysis of Data Pattern

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04 · Risk

What could break the thesis?

Working Capital Days and Cash Conversion
69/100

Debtor days have increased slightly to 307 days in FY25 from 280 days in FY24, indicating worsening collection efficiency from government agencies. (2 intensifying, 3 easing, 1 high-severity)

Cash Conversion Cycle (Days) ... FY26 365

Data Pattern · Investor PPT · May 2026 · p.23
Government Dependence and Payment Cycles
69/100

Debtor days have worsened, increasing from 280 days in FY24 to 307 days in FY25. This indicates that the time taken to collect payments from government agencies is lengthening, further tying up capital. (1 intensifying, 2 easing, 2 stable, 1 high-severity)

Customers: DRDO 28.7%, Brahmos 31.5%

Data Pattern · Investor PPT · May 2026 · p.12
Order Book Execution Visibility
52/100

The risk is easing as the order book pipeline is robust, estimated at Rs 20-30bn over the next 18-24 months, providing strong future visibility. (3 easing)

Expect Rs 2,000 Cr order inflow other than orders already received and negotiated, in FY2027

Data Pattern · Investor PPT · May 2026 · p.14
Other Findings
46/100

Concentration in the Radar segment has intensified significantly, now accounting for 66.4% of Q1FY26 revenue compared to 51.9% in FY25. (2 intensifying, 1 stable)

Radar 40.1%

Data Pattern · Investor PPT · May 2026 · p.7

See the full cited Risk analysis of Data Pattern

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