Company AnalysisAnalysis as of 20 Apr 2026

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Tata Capital

BSE:544574
NSE:TATACAP

Our verdict on Tata Capital isn’t the consensus take — see where we landed, and the one risk the bull case glosses over.

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01 · Management Credibility

Does management do what it says?

ExceededOther Findings
95/100

As of 9mFY26, AUM growth for the entity excluding Motor Finance is at 26%, exceeding the upper end of the full-year guidance range. (2 exceeded, 1 met across 3 tracked commitments)

Looking ahead, we expect the growth momentum to strengthen in the second half of the year, targeting a full-year growth of 22% to 25% for Tata Capital excluding Motor Finance and about 18% to 20% on a merged basis.

Tata Capital · Concall Transcript · Nov 2025 · p.6
In progressNiche Segment Underwriting Edge
60/100

The Motor Finance AUM continues to decline as part of the consolidation strategy, falling from ₹28,322 Cr in Sep-25 to ₹26,584 Cr in Dec-25, consistent with the stabilization timeline for Q4. (1 in progress across 1 tracked commitment)

Consolidating loan book in line with strategy to improve business metrics. Between Mar-25 and Dec-25, Net AUM lower by ₹ 6,929 Cr

Tata Capital · Investor PPT · Jan 2026 · p.31
MissedCapital Adequacy Ratio CRAR
30/100

Following the October 2025 listing, the actual capital ratios for Q3FY26 are lower than the post-IPO targets extracted from previous guidance. (1 missed across 1 tracked commitment)

Post IPO 21.5% [Total CRAR] 17.9% [Tier-I]

Tata Capital · Investor PPT · Dec 2025 · p.41
MissedLeverage Ratio Debt to Equity
30/100

The Debt-to-Equity ratio as of Q3FY26 (post-listing) stands at 5.1x, which is higher than the 4.9x target. (1 missed across 1 tracked commitment)

Post IPO 4.9x [D/E]

Tata Capital · Investor PPT · Dec 2025 · p.41
Vehicle Scrappage Policy and EV Transition

Pivoting Motor Finance towards a multi-OEM model and increasing the share of used commercial vehicles and small/medium CVs.

In terms of the business model, we are strategically pivoting towards a multi-OEM model... We are also focusing on increasing the share of used commercial vehicles as well as the intermediate, medium and small commercial vehicles.

Tata Capital · Concall Transcript · Nov 2025 · p.10

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02 · Business Model

How durable is the business?

Liability Franchise and Funding Mix
80/100

The Tata brand moat was further validated by an S&P rating upgrade to BBB stable, which directly lowered the cost of funds. (3 expanding)

“Tata” brand name ... Highest credit rating and diversified liabilities ensuring lower cost of funds

Tata Capital · Investor PPT · Jan 2026 · p.11
RBI Digital Lending Guidelines Reshaping Distribution
80/100

Digital adoption has reached near-total levels, with 97% of customers onboarded digitally and 99% of collections processed through digital channels. (1 expanding)

97% Customers onboarded via digital platforms ... 97% Disbursements via scorecards / BRE

Tata Capital · Investor PPT · Jan 2026 · p.44
Niche Segment Underwriting Edge
73/100

Corporate lending remains a strategic engine used for growth when retail markets are stressed, though its current share is part of the 12% non-Retail/SME residual book. (1 stable, 2 expanding across 1 engine)

SME 70,549 [Cr] ... 27.1%

Tata Capital · Investor PPT · Jan 2026 · p.16
Capital Adequacy Ratio CRAR
63/100

Capital adequacy strengthened significantly post-IPO, improving the leverage profile and providing a massive liquidity buffer. (2 expanding, 1 contracting)

Total CRAR 20.3% ... Regulatory CRAR 15%

Tata Capital · Investor PPT · Jan 2026 · p.36
Net Interest Margin by Segment
63/100

Retail and SME segments continue to dominate the portfolio, contributing 88% of the total book. Within Retail, the company is aggressively expanding into high-yield 'Affordable Housing' which grew at 30% YoY. (2 expanding, 1 contracting, 1 stable)

Retail and SME continue to contribute 88% of our total book... we have the fastest-growing Affordable Housing book among large housing finance companies.

Tata Capital · Concall Transcript · Nov 2025 · p.6

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03 · Future Growth

Where does growth come from?

Capital Adequacy Ratio CRAR
74/100

Capital adequacy has significantly strengthened post-IPO, providing a massive buffer for AUM expansion and reducing leverage. (3 accelerating across 3 signals)

Total CRAR Q3FY26 20.3% (Regulatory 15%)

Tata Capital · Investor PPT · Jan 2026 · p.36
Net Interest Margin by Segment
74/100

Housing finance remains a high-growth engine, with AUM reaching Rs. 75,636 Cr and a target to hit Rs. 1 lakh crore by mid-FY27. (2 accelerating across 2 signals)

30% YoY growth in Net AUM (₹ 81,585 Cr). ... 80% of the incremental branches in Tier 3 onwards.

Tata Capital · Investor PPT · Jan 2026 · p.27
Other Findings
72/100

AUM growth is showing strong momentum, with the core business (excluding Motor Finance) growing at 22% YoY and the merged entity reaching Rs. 2.44 lakh crore. (3 steady, 2 accelerating across 5 signals, 1 leading indicator)

Wealth Management ... ₹ 7,462cr 24% CAGR (Mar-23 to Dec-25)

Tata Capital · Investor PPT · Jan 2026 · p.20
Scale Based Regulation Layer Classification
70/100

AUM growth is accelerating significantly, jumping from a steady 22% YoY growth rate to a much larger scale following the Tata Motors Finance merger. (2 accelerating, 1 steady, 1 new trend across 4 signals)

7% QoQ growth in Net AUM (₹ 2,60,698 Cr).

Tata Capital · Investor PPT · Jan 2026 · p.4
Vehicle Scrappage Policy and EV Transition
65/100

Management is executing a turnaround for the newly acquired Motor Finance business by shifting focus toward used vehicles and smaller commercial vehicles to improve profitability. (+1 more signal)

EV Financing 75,000+ Live EV customers 2,500+ Customers added every month

Tata Capital · Investor PPT · Jan 2026 · p.52

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04 · Risk

What could break the thesis?

Gross Net NPA and Stage 3 Assets
70/100

The consolidated GNPA ratio has increased to 1.9% in Sep-25 from 1.5% in Mar-25 (Ex-TMFL), confirming the asset quality dilution from the merger. (4 intensifying, 1 easing, 2 high-severity)

GNPA at 1.6% | NNPA at 0.6% (Excluding Motor Finance)... GNPA at 2.2% | NNPA at 1.0% (Including Motor Finance)

Tata Capital · Investor PPT · Jan 2026 · p.4
Return on Assets ROA
55/100

STABLE. The consolidated ROA improved slightly to 1.9% (up 10 bps), but the Motor Finance segment itself is still in a 'transformation' phase and is expected to only break even by Q4 FY26. (1 stable, 1 intensifying, 1 easing)

Annualized ROA 2.3% (Excluding Motor Finance)... Annualized ROA 2.1% (Including Motor Finance)

Tata Capital · Investor PPT · Jan 2026 · p.4
Other Findings
55/100

The company faces integration and turnaround risks following the acquisition of Tata Motors Finance, with a specific focus on the cyclical nature of the Commercial Vehicle (CV) market. [EXECUTION] (+1 more risk)

Current focus is on transforming and integrating the business. Progress in line with our plans. CV cycle remains key monitorable.

Tata Capital · Investor PPT · Jan 2026 · p.32
Scale Based Regulation Layer Classification
54/100

The company remains an Upper Layer NBFC, maintaining bank-like risk management and governance structures. (1 stable)

Tata Capital is an upper layer NBFC with a 100% owned housing finance subsidiary

Tata Capital · Investor PPT · Jan 2026 · p.8
Liability Franchise and Funding Mix
48/100

EASING. The company has successfully diversified its funding, with market-linked bank borrowings increasing from 43% to 65% of the mix, and achieved a 47 bps reduction in cost of funds to 7.4%. (2 easing)

CP/ WCDL 12% (Dec'25)

Tata Capital · Investor PPT · Jan 2026 · p.35

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Filing Analysis by Period

Tata Capital analysis by filing period

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