Company AnalysisAnalysis as of 18 Jun 2026

AI-generated · cited to primary sources · not investment advice · How we research

Technology·AI Compute & Data Infrastructure

Riot Platforms, Inc. - Common Stock

NASDAQ:RIOT
Our Conviction
/100
Verdict locked
Mgmt
Business
Growth
Risk
Scenarios

Our verdict on Riot Platforms, Inc. - Common Stock isn’t the consensus take — see where we landed, and the one risk the bull case glosses over.

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01 · Management Credibility

Does management do what it says?

ExceededProject Financing Close
100/100

Management upsized the facility from $100 million to $200 million and has fully drawn against it to pursue strategic initiatives. (3 exceeded across 3 tracked commitments)

The Company has fully drawn against the $100 Million Credit Facility and intends to use the proceeds to pursue key strategic initiatives and for general corporate purposes.

Riot Platforms, Inc. - Common Stock · QUARTERLY_REPORT · Mar 2025 · p.37
ExceededContracted and Energized MW
78/100

Management has upgraded the operational capacity target for the Kentucky facilities. While the previous target was 110 MW, the company now targets reaching approximately 160 MW during the remainder of 2025, having already expanded to 95 MW. (1 revised, 1 met, 1 exceeded across 3 tracked commitments)

The Block Mining Acquisition added 60 MW of developed capacity for self-mining, which we currently expanded to approximately 95 MW of operational capacity, and are targeting to reach a total of approximately 160 MW during the remainder of 2025.

Riot Platforms, Inc. - Common Stock · QUARTERLY_REPORT · Sep 2025 · p.39

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02 · Business Model

How durable is the business?

Power Cost per MWh
75/100

Riot's power strategy remains a core moat, though curtailment credits decreased 40% this quarter. The company continues to utilize fixed-price PPAs at Rockdale and Corsicana to manage costs. (1 stable, 3 expanding)

The following table presents our power curtailment credits: ... Total power curtailment credits $8,313 [for 2025] $13,897 [for 2024].

Riot Platforms, Inc. - Common Stock · QUARTERLY_REPORT · Jun 2025 · p.74
Other Findings
68/100

Engineering revenue grew 9.9% year-over-year, primarily bolstered by the E4A Solutions acquisition, though growth was tempered by project change orders. Its share of total revenue dropped to 6.9% due to the massive expansion in mining revenue. (4 expanding across 1 engine)

Engineering revenue was $22.2 million and $13.9 million, respectively. The increase was primarily attributable to the record third-party data center demand for custom electrical equipment.

Riot Platforms, Inc. - Common Stock · QUARTERLY_REPORT · Mar 2026 · p.70

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03 · Future Growth

Where does growth come from?

Contracted and Energized MW
77/100

Capacity expansion is accelerating with the energization of the Corsicana substation and the acquisition of Block Mining in Kentucky, adding 60 MW of immediate capacity with 155 MW potential. (1 accelerating, 2 steady across 3 signals, 1 leading indicator)

We have completed construction of approximately 400 MW of developed capacity at our second large-scale Texas development, the Corsicana Facility. We expect the Corsicana Facility to reach approximately 1 GW of developed capacity available for Bitcoin Mining and other high-density compute workloads upon full build-out.

Riot Platforms, Inc. - Common Stock · QUARTERLY_REPORT · Mar 2026 · p.54
Capex Financing Risk
73/100

Riot is aggressively utilizing its ATM (At-the-Market) equity program to fund massive infrastructure build-outs, showing accelerating capital intake. (1 accelerating, 1 steady, 1 decelerating across 3 signals, 1 leading indicator)

In December 2025, the Company established the 2025 ATM program, under which it could offer and sell up to $500.0 million in shares... as of March 31, 2026, all $500.0 million in shares of the Company’s common stock were available for sale

Riot Platforms, Inc. - Common Stock · QUARTERLY_REPORT · Mar 2026 · p.38

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04 · Risk

What could break the thesis?

Large Hosting Contract
81/100

This risk is emerging as a primary concentration concern for the new data center segment. The AMD lease is expected to generate $311 million in base rent over 10 years, representing a massive portion of the non-mining revenue pipeline. (1 emerging, 1 stable, 1 high-severity)

During the three months ended March 31, 2026, Bitcoin Mining revenue generated as a result of the Company’s participation in a mining pool and Data Center revenue generated by the Company’s AMD lease each contributed more than 10% of the Company’s total consolidated revenue.

Riot Platforms, Inc. - Common Stock · QUARTERLY_REPORT · Mar 2026 · p.53
Other Findings
74/100

The risk is intensifying as the legal dispute with SBI Crypto has escalated to claims exceeding $400 million, while the GMO case remains active with claims totaling $646 million. (3 intensifying, 1 easing, 1 stable, 1 high-severity)

On October 19, 2023, GMO filed its fourth amended complaint claiming an additional $496.0 million in damages, for loss of future profits and future profit sharing payments

Riot Platforms, Inc. - Common Stock · QUARTERLY_REPORT · Mar 2026 · p.48

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