Analysis published 09 Oct 2026

AI-generated · cited to primary sources · not investment advice

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) Dec 2025 Filing Analysis

02 · Business Model

How durable is the business?

Food, Beverage And Restaurants Market Structure
80/100

International operations expanded from a small base. All other revenue, consisting of Canada and Europe restaurant sales plus royalties from international partner-operated restaurants, increased 21.8%. The geographic mix therefore broadened modestly, although international operations remained only about 2.1% of consolidated revenue. (1 expanding)

“All other revenue represents sales within our company-owned restaurants in Canada, Europe and royalty revenue from international partner-operated restaurants.”

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. Common Stock · Annual Report · Dec 2025 · p.74

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04 · Risk

What could break the thesis?

Food, Beverage And Restaurants Competitive Moat

Food safety remained a material risk in FY25. The filing states that preventive controls cannot eliminate the risk of contamination, and emphasizes Chipotle's use of fresh produce, raw chicken and traditional cooking methods. The later baseline identifies recent food-safety concerns as creating low-single-digit comparable-sales pressure, meaning the risk worsened after this filing. From the FY25 position to the later baseline, severity increased from Medium to High. (1 intensifying)

“Even strong preventative controls and interventions from farm to restaurant cannot completely eliminate food safety risks... We may have higher risk for food safety incidents than some of our competitors because we use fresh, unprocessed produce, handle raw chicken in our restaurants, rely on employees cooking with traditional methods and don't use artificial preservatives or frozen ingredients.”

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. Common Stock · Annual Report · Dec 2025 · p.11

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