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Adani Enterprises: Evaluating the Strategic Growth and Operational Risks of a Conglomerate Powerhouse
Public
— This investment thesis provides a comprehensive deep dive into Adani Enterprises, examining its multifaceted business model within the materials and minerals trading sectors. By analyzing critical pillars including management effectiveness, future growth catalysts, and potential risk factors, this report offers a balanced perspective on the company's long-term trajectory. Investors will gain actionable insights into the various operational scenarios that could impact Adani Enterprises' performance in an evolving global market.
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Adani Enterp. (64)
Materials
Scenarios

Ran on 05 Apr 2026

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64
Can You Trust This Management?
+50 pts
1
Delivered
0
Missed
0
Dropped/Revised
4
Open
16 promises tracked · 25% kept ·

Management delivered on 1 of 5 commitments (20% hit rate).

Latest Commentary
Feb 2026
Growth & Positive Signals
MetricCommentarySource

Project Completion

Target: 95%+ complete

Targeting completion and 'go live' status for the Ganga Expressway project.

PPT Feb 2026 p.8

Tied-up capacity

Target: 1 GW

Target to achieve 1 GW of tied-up data center capacity powered by renewable energy.

PPT Feb 2026 p.20

Carbon Emissions

Target: Net Zero

Commitment to make airport and data center businesses operational net zero.

PPT Feb 2026 p.43

EBITDA

Strategic focus on unlocking EBITDA from large infrastructure assets including Navi Mumbai Airport, Copper Plant, and Ganga Expressway.

PPT Feb 2026 p.7

Environmental Impact

Aim to achieve No-Net Loss to biodiversity and become a net water positive company.

PPT Feb 2026 p.43
Promises Delivered
1
1
Met
Other Findings
81
What they promised

“Targeting road project portfolio expansion to over 5000 Lane-Kms. (target: 5000+ Lane-Kms, timeline: Multi-year)”

Investor PPT • Jul 2025 • p.15
How they delivered

“Roads Project @ 5500+ Lane-Kms”

Investor PPT • Nov 2025 • p.15
What Outsiders Are Saying

Navi Mumbai International Airport is confirmed to be on track to commence operations from Q3 FY26.

Adani Enterprises Limited (ADANIENT.BO) latest stock news and ...
Guidance Tracking
All
Q3 FY26
Q2 FY26
Q1 FY26
MetricPromiseActualStatusSource

Operational Status

Q3 FY26

Navi Mumbai International Airport is set to commence operations from Q3 FY26. (target: Commence operations, timeline: Q3 FY26)

Navi Mumbai International Airport commenced operations from 25th December 2025.

Met
PPT Feb 2026 p.2
PPT Nov 2025 p.2

Capital Raise

Q3 FY26

AEL Board has approved a Rights Issue of Rs. 25,000 crore to support the next phase of business incubation. (target: Rs. 25,000 cr, timeline: Next phase of incubation)

Successfully completed Right Issue raising Rs. 24,930 cr, sees oversubscription by 30% from market

Met
PPT Feb 2026 p.2
PPT Nov 2025 p.2

Dispatch Volume

Q3 FY26

Targeting increased dispatch volumes in mining services (MDO). (target: 60 million tons, timeline: Next 18 months)

9M FY26 Dispatch: 33.3 MMT (14% YoY growth)

In Progress
PPT Feb 2026 p.3
Concall May 2025 p.4

Tied-up Capacity

Q3 FY26

The company targets 1 GW of tied-up data center capacity powered by renewable energy by 2030. (target: 1 GW, timeline: 2030)

210+ MW Tied up Capacity; operational capacity 50+MW

In Progress
PPT Feb 2026 p.20
PPT Nov 2025 p.20

Operational Capacity

Q3 FY26

Ramp-up of the copper smelter to full run rate. (target: Full run rate, timeline: Q3 FY26 (within 180 days))

Copper Plant Working Capital Debt at Rs. 6,809 cr as at Dec-25

In Progress
PPT Feb 2026 p.31
Concall May 2025 p.4

Infrastructure Length

Q2 FY26

Targeting road project portfolio expansion to over 5000 Lane-Kms. (target: 5000+ Lane-Kms, timeline: Multi-year)

Roads Project @ 5500+ Lane-Kms

Exceeded
PPT Nov 2025 p.15
PPT Jul 2025 p.15

Dispatch Volume

Q2 FY26

Targeting increased dispatch volumes in mining services (MDO). (target: 60 million tons, timeline: Next 18 months)

H1 FY26 Dispatch: 22.6 MMT (up 29% YoY)

In Progress
PPT Nov 2025 p.3
Concall May 2025 p.4

Project Completion

Q2 FY26

Completion and EBITDA unlocking of Ganga Expressway project by FY26. (target: Operational, timeline: FY26)

Ganga Expressway in FY26; Completion status: BHRPL 97%, HURPL 87%, UPRPL 93%.

In Progress
PPT Nov 2025 p.24
PPT May 2025 p.34

Dispatch Volume

Q2 FY26

Targeting increased dispatch volumes in mining services (MDO).

22.6 MMT dispatch (up 29% YoY)

In Progress
Concall Nov 2025 p.4
Concall May 2025 p.4

Production Capacity

Q1 FY26

Expansion of solar cell and module line capacity by 6 GW.

Financial closure achieved; Under Construction

In Progress
PPT Jul 2025 p.19
Concall May 2025 p.3

Operational Capacity

Q1 FY26

Ramp-up of the copper smelter to full run rate.

Targeted to be fully operational by FY26

Pending
PPT Jul 2025 p.27
Concall May 2025 p.4

Regulatory Approval

Q1 FY26

Timeline for Mumbai airport tariff order.

Tariff order received with effective date 16th May 2025

Met
PPT Jul 2025 p.4
Concall May 2025 p.7

Project Completion

Q1 FY26

Operationalization of Navi Mumbai Airport by Q1 FY26.

EBITDA unlock expected in FY26

Revised
PPT Jul 2025 p.7
PPT May 2025 p.34

Project Completion

Q1 FY26

Completion and EBITDA unlocking of Ganga Expressway project by FY26.

85% construction completed

In Progress
PPT Jul 2025 p.4
PPT May 2025 p.34

Production Capacity

Q1 FY26

Operationalization of the 1 MMTPA PVC Plant by FY28.

Construction in progress; target FY28

In Progress
PPT Jul 2025 p.27
PPT May 2025 p.34

Biodiversity

Q1 FY26

Aim to achieve No-Net Loss to biodiversity.

Commitment reaffirmed in ESG framework

In Progress
PPT Jul 2025 p.40
PPT May 2025 p.49
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BM Strength
4
Expanding
0
Contracting
0
Stable
0
New
0
Shifted
0
Exited

Adani Enterprises acts as a business incubator that builds large-scale infrastructure projects in India and then spins them off into independent companies. It currently makes money through established businesses like mining and coal trading, while growing new ventures in solar and wind manufacturing, airport management, and road construction. Each segment focuses on a different national need, from energy and data centers to transport and logistics.

4 engines · 3 moats (3 strong) ·
Revenue Engines
Q3 FY26
#1

Integrated Resource Management (IRM)

↓ Declining ((25%))
M: 10.3%
Growth: (25%)
Margin: 10.3%
Revenue: Rs. 7,169 cr

The Integrated Resource Management (IRM) segment, which involves coal trading and supply chain services, is the largest revenue contributor but saw a decline this quarter.

“IRM Q3-26 Total Income 7,169; EBITDA 738; (25%) Impacted due to low volume and prices”

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.28
Trend Evidence
Q3 FY26
30460
→
22068
-28%

The IRM segment continues to contract significantly due to lower trade volumes and price volatility in the coal market, with 9M revenue dropping by 28%.

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.27
Q2 FY26
20898
→
14899
-29%

The IRM segment continues to contract significantly due to lower trade volumes and price volatility, with revenue dropping 29% year-on-year.

Investor PPT • Nov 2025 • p.27
24.1 MMT (Volume)
→
24.1 MMT (Volume)
0%

The trading business (IRM) remains the largest revenue contributor but is described as cyclical and impacted by trade and price volatility due to geopolitical issues.

Concall Transcript • Nov 2025 • p.4
Q1 FY26
11201
→
8056
-28%

The IRM segment continues to contract significantly in both revenue and profitability due to lower trade volumes and volatile index prices.

Investor PPT • Jul 2025 • p.25
30.42%
→
20.0%
-34.2%

The company has initiated an exit from its consumer food joint venture (Adani Wilmar), selling a 10.42% stake to focus on core infrastructure.

Investor PPT • Jul 2025 • p.4
Q4 FY25
56.5 MMT
→
56.5 MMT
0%

The IRM segment, which involves coal trading, is expected to remain flat in terms of volume as the company focuses on higher-margin incubating businesses.

Concall Transcript • May 2025 • p.6
62359
→
40989
-34%

The IRM segment continues to contract significantly as the company shifts focus toward its infrastructure incubator model. Revenue dropped by 34% for the full year and 44% in the final quarter due to lower volumes.

Investor PPT • May 2025 • p.31
#2

Airports

↑ Growing (28%)
M: 41.6%
Growth: 28%
Margin: 41.6%
Revenue: Rs. 3,770 cr

The Airports segment manages a portfolio of 8 airports and is seeing rapid growth in both flight-related and retail revenue.

“Airports Q3-26 Total Income 3,770; EBITDA 1,568; 28% Increased in line with tariff revision and non-aero growth”

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.28
Trend Evidence
Q3 FY26
7393
→
9652
+31%

The Airports segment is the primary growth driver for the incubator model, with revenue expanding by 31% and EBITDA by 47% following tariff revisions and the commencement of Navi Mumbai operations.

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.27
Q2 FY26
4453
→
5882
+32%

The Airports segment is expanding rapidly, driven by tariff revisions and a 36% surge in non-aero (retail/services) revenue.

Investor PPT • Nov 2025 • p.22
INR 4,456 crores (H1 FY25 implied)
→
INR 5,882 crores
+32%

The airport vertical is expanding rapidly, now reported as a standalone segment with significant revenue and EBITDA growth driven by tariff revisions and non-aero income.

Concall Transcript • Nov 2025 • p.4
Q1 FY26
2177
→
2715
+25%

The Airports segment is expanding rapidly, driven by higher passenger volumes and a significant jump in non-aeronautical (retail/service) income.

Investor PPT • Jul 2025 • p.25
Q4 FY25
INR 2,433 crores (implied FY24)
→
INR 3,480 crores
+43%

The airport segment is expanding significantly with EBITDA growing 43% and a massive capex allocation of INR 10,500 crores for the coming year.

Concall Transcript • May 2025 • p.3
8062
→
10224
+27%

The Airports segment is expanding rapidly, with a 27% increase in annual revenue and a 43% jump in EBITDA. Passenger traffic reached 94.4 million, up 7% year-on-year.

Investor PPT • May 2025 • p.31
#3

ANIL Ecosystem

↑ Growing (7%)
M: 30.8%
Growth: 7%
Margin: 30.8%
Revenue: Rs. 3,161 cr

The ANIL Ecosystem focuses on green energy manufacturing, specifically solar modules and wind turbines.

“ANIL Ecosystem Q3-26 Total Income 3,161; EBITDA 975; 7% Increased on account of higher volume”

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.28
Trend Evidence
Q3 FY26
10575
→
10394
-2%

The Green Hydrogen/Solar ecosystem saw a slight revenue contraction of 2% and an 8% drop in EBITDA, primarily due to lower market prices (realization) for solar modules despite higher sales volumes.

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.27
Q2 FY26
7634
→
7233
-5%

Revenue and EBITDA contracted due to a 31% drop in export volumes, though domestic sales showed resilience with 43% growth.

Investor PPT • Nov 2025 • p.27
H1 FY25 Revenue
→
H1 FY26 Revenue (-5%)
-5%

Solar module sales saw a slight revenue dip of 5% and a 14% EBITDA decline due to pricing rationalization and US tariff uncertainties, though capacity utilization remains near 100%.

Concall Transcript • Nov 2025 • p.5
Q1 FY26
1642
→
1212
-26%

The green energy manufacturing segment saw a contraction in revenue and margins this quarter, primarily due to lower sales volumes and lower export price realizations.

Investor PPT • Jul 2025 • p.25
Q4 FY25
INR 2,296 crores (implied FY24)
→
INR 4,776 crores
+108%

The green energy manufacturing segment is seeing explosive growth, with EBITDA more than doubling as capacity for wind and solar continues to scale.

Concall Transcript • May 2025 • p.3
8741
→
14236
+63%

The green energy manufacturing arm (ANIL) saw explosive growth, with revenue up 63% and EBITDA more than doubling (108%) as solar module sales reached 4.2 GW.

Investor PPT • May 2025 • p.31
#4

Mining Service

↑ Growing (16%)
M: 40.7%
Growth: 16%
Margin: 40.7%
Revenue: Rs. 996 cr

Mining Services provides end-to-end operational support for mine owners, earning fees based on the volume of material extracted.

“Mining Service Q3-26 Total Income 996; EBITDA 405; 16% Increased due to start of operations for new mine service contract”

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.28
Trend Evidence
Q3 FY26
2516
→
3243
+29%

Mining services showed robust growth of 29% in both revenue and EBITDA, driven by higher dispatch volumes and the start of operations at new mine service contracts.

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.27
Q2 FY26
1660
→
2247
+35%

Mining services showed strong expansion with a 35% increase in revenue and 37% increase in EBITDA driven by higher dispatch volumes.

Investor PPT • Nov 2025 • p.27
INR 1,664 crores (H1 FY25 implied)
→
INR 2,247 crores
+35%

The MDO (Mine Developer and Operator) business is expanding with a 35% revenue increase, though it is still only operating at 36% of its contracted peak capacity.

Concall Transcript • Nov 2025 • p.4
Q1 FY26
856
→
1159
+35%

Mining services showed strong growth as dispatch volumes increased across operational sites, leading to a 40% jump in EBITDA.

Investor PPT • Jul 2025 • p.25
Q4 FY25
INR 2,367 crores (implied FY24)
→
INR 3,787 crores
+60%

Mining services (MDO) saw a 60% revenue jump and 100% EBITDA growth, with volumes expected to reach 60 million tons in the next 18 months.

Concall Transcript • May 2025 • p.3
2361
→
3787
+60%

Mining services showed strong momentum with a 60% increase in revenue and a 103% increase in EBITDA, driven by higher extraction volumes and a better customer mix.

Investor PPT • May 2025 • p.31
Moat Analysis
#DimensionScoreTrendKey Evidence

1

Scale

9/10
Widening

The company maintains a massive scale advantage by managing critical national infrastructure, includ...

The company maintains a massive scale advantage by managing critical national infrastructure, including 23% of India's passenger base and 29% of its air cargo.

“Serving pan India presence of ~23% of total passenger base, ~21% of total air traffic movements, ~29% of total cargo volume”

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.21

2

IP / Technology

8/10
Stable

Adani Solar holds a significant technology and market position as the only Indian company ranked in ...

Adani Solar holds a significant technology and market position as the only Indian company ranked in the top 10 global solar manufacturers.

“Adani Solar (ANIL) only Indian company in Top 10 global solar manufacturers”

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.2

3

Balance Sheet

8/10
Widening

The company has a strong balance sheet and capital market access, recently raising nearly Rs. 25,000...

The company has a strong balance sheet and capital market access, recently raising nearly Rs. 25,000 crore to fund its infrastructure 'incubator' model.

“Successfully completed Right Issue raising Rs. 24,930 cr, sees oversubscription by 30% from market”

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.2
Trend Evidence
Q3 FY26

The company significantly strengthened its capital position by raising Rs. 24,930 crore through a rights issue, though net external debt increased to fund incubating infrastructure assets.

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.31
Q2 FY26

The company is significantly strengthening its capital base through a massive Rs. 25,000 crore rights issue to fund the next phase of business incubation.

Investor PPT • Nov 2025 • p.2

The company is strengthening its balance sheet through a massive INR 25,000 crore rights issue to fund the next phase of infrastructure incubation and energy transition.

Concall Transcript • Nov 2025 • p.3
Q1 FY26

The company's leverage has increased as it deploys capital into incubating infrastructure assets, with Net External Debt/EBITDA rising to 3.5x.

Investor PPT • Jul 2025 • p.27
Q4 FY25

The balance sheet is being utilized to fund a massive INR 31,500 crore capex program, with debt primarily tied to operational infrastructure assets like airports and roads.

Concall Transcript • May 2025 • p.6

The balance sheet has shifted toward higher leverage to fund massive infrastructure projects, with Net External Debt increasing by nearly 60% to Rs. 49,306 crore.

Investor PPT • May 2025 • p.35
Market Signals

Total Volume Handled Annually

The Integrated Resource Management (IRM) segment, which handles coal trading and logistics, remains the largest revenue contributor but is experiencing a decline in volumes and revenue. This shift suggests a structural market move away from traditional coal trading as the company pivots toward green energy and infrastructure. (Adani Enterprises Limited (ADANIENT.BO) - Yahoo Finance)

Adani Enterprises Limited (ADANIENT.BO) - Yahoo Finance
Other Findings

Adani Enterprises is aggressively diversifying into the 'ANIL Ecosystem' (Green Hydrogen and Solar/Wind manufacturing) and Airports. This structural shift aims to replace volatile trading revenue with regulated, long-term infrastructure assets and high-tech manufacturing. (Adani Enterprises Limited (ADANIENT.BO) - Yahoo Finance)

Adani Enterprises Limited (ADANIENT.BO) - Yahoo Finance

New Mine Auction and Supply Source Addition

Adani Enterprises is expanding its Mining Services through end-to-end operational support for mine owners (MDO model). While this provides steady fee-based income, the shift toward 'Commercial Mining' segments introduces higher commodity price risk compared to the traditional service-fee model. (ADE: Adani Enterprises Ltd Stock Price Quote - Natl India - Bloomberg)

ADE: Adani Enterprises Ltd Stock Price Quote - Natl India - Bloomberg
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64
Growth Outlook
9M FY26
2
Accelerating
1
Steady
0
Decelerating
0
Reversing
2
New Trend
0
Discontinued
10 signals · 5 leading indicators · 1 constraint ·
Growth Signals
5 Leading
10
Revenue Driver
4

Airports Total Income

Rs. 3,770 cr
28% YoY
Value: Rs. 3,770 cr
Growth: 28% YoY

The company's airport business is seeing a major surge in income, driven by higher fees (tariffs) and more spending by passengers on non-flight services like shopping and dining.

Trend Evidence
Q3 FY26
Accelerating
3Q tracked
Q3 FY25Rs. 2,939 cr
9M FY25Rs. 7,393 cr
Q3 FY26Rs. 3,770 cr
9M FY26Rs. 9,652 cr

The airport business is showing strong acceleration in revenue growth, with 9M FY26 income up 31% compared to the previous year, significantly outpacing the quarterly 28% growth rate.

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.3
Q2 FY26
Accelerating
2Q tracked
Q2 FY25Rs. 2,276 cr
H1 FY25Rs. 4,453 cr
Q2 FY26Rs. 3,167 cr
H1 FY26Rs. 5,882 cr

The airport business is showing strong acceleration in revenue growth, jumping from 32% YoY growth in H1 FY25 to 39% in Q2 FY26, driven by tariff revisions and non-aero expansion.

Investor PPT • Nov 2025 • p.3
Accelerating
1Q tracked
H1 FY26INR 5,882 crores revenue (32% growth)

The airport vertical is showing accelerating financial performance with revenue growth of 32% and EBITDA growth of 51% for H1 FY26, driven by tariff revisions and a 34% jump in non-aero income per passenger.

Concall Transcript • Nov 2025 • p.4
Q1 FY26
Accelerating
3Q tracked
Q1 FY25Rs. 2,177 Cr
FY25Rs. 10,224 Cr
Q1 FY26Rs. 2,715 Cr

The Airports business is showing strong acceleration in both revenue and profitability, with EBITDA growth significantly outstripping income growth due to operational efficiencies and tariff revisions.

Investor PPT • Jul 2025 • p.3
Q4 FY25
Accelerating
2Q tracked
FY24INR 2,433 Cr EBITDA (implied)
FY25INR 3,480 Cr EBITDA
Q4 FY25INR 1,000 Cr EBITDA (Run-rate)

The airport business is showing strong momentum with EBITDA growing 43% YoY to INR 3,480 crores for FY25. Management indicates a current run rate of INR 1,000 crores per quarter, with expectations to reach INR 4,500-5,000 crores in the coming quarters as non-aero revenue scales.

Concall Transcript • May 2025 • p.3
Steady
4Q tracked
FY24Rs. 8,062 cr
FY25Rs. 10,224 cr

The airport business is showing steady, high-double-digit growth in revenue and profitability as passenger traffic scales up.

Investor PPT • May 2025 • p.3
Q3 FY25
Accelerating
3Q tracked
9M FY24Rs. 5,866 cr
9M FY25Rs. 7,393 cr
Q3 FY25Rs. 2,939 cr (33% YoY growth)

The airport segment is showing steady to accelerating growth, with 9M FY25 income reaching Rs. 7,393 cr (up 26%) and Q3 FY25 specifically hitting Rs. 2,939 cr (up 33% YoY), indicating a pick-up in the most recent quarter.

Investor PPT • Jan 2025 • p.3
Accelerating
2Q tracked
Q2 FY25INR 744 crores EBITDA
Q3 FY25INR 1,100 crores EBITDA

The airport business is showing strong acceleration in profitability, with EBITDA growing 43% in the nine-month period, significantly outpacing passenger volume growth of 7%. This indicates successful monetization of non-aero services and new tariff implementations.

Concall Transcript • Jan 2025 • p.5

“Airports Total Income Q3 FY25 2,939 Q3 FY26 3,770 % change Y-o-Y 28%”

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.3

Domestic Solar Module sales

997 MW
40% YoY
Value: 997 MW
Growth: 40% YoY

The solar manufacturing division is seeing strong demand, with sales of solar modules jumping significantly compared to last year.

Trend Evidence
Q3 FY26
Accelerating
3Q tracked
Q3 FY25893 MW
9M FY253273 MW
Q3 FY26997 MW
9M FY263440 MW

While quarterly domestic sales surged 40%, the overall 9M volume growth is steady at 5%, indicating a recent sharp acceleration in domestic demand despite a slower start to the year.

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.3
Q2 FY26
Steady
2Q tracked
Q2 FY251001 MW
H1 FY252380 MW
Q2 FY261093 MW
H1 FY262443 MW

While overall H1 volume growth is steady at 3%, the Q2 FY26 performance shows a stronger 9% YoY growth in module sales, indicating a pick-up in momentum.

Investor PPT • Nov 2025 • p.3
Decelerating
1Q tracked
Q2 FY261.093 GW (100% capacity)
H1 FY26-14% EBITDA impact

While underlying sales volumes remain at nearly 100% capacity utilization (approx 1.1 GW), the revenue and EBITDA are facing a temporary deceleration due to U.S. tariff uncertainties and pricing rationalization.

Concall Transcript • Nov 2025 • p.5
Q1 FY26
Decelerating
3Q tracked
Q1 FY251,379 MW
FY254,263 MW
Q1 FY261,350 MW

While the previous signal noted 40% growth, the current Q1 FY26 data shows a slight 2% dip in volume, indicating a stabilization or minor deceleration in the short term despite high overall capacity.

Investor PPT • Jul 2025 • p.3
Q4 FY25
Accelerating
4Q tracked
FY242679 MW
FY254263 MW

Solar module sales are accelerating significantly, with annual volumes jumping 59% as the company shifts toward higher-efficiency TopCon technology.

Investor PPT • May 2025 • p.20
Q3 FY25
Accelerating
3Q tracked
9M FY241,882 MW
9M FY253,273 MW (74% growth)
Q3 FY25893 MW (40% growth)

Solar module sales are accelerating significantly. While Q3 FY25 saw 40% YoY growth (893 MW), the full 9M FY25 performance shows a massive 74% increase to 3,273 MW, driven by a 176% surge in domestic sales.

Investor PPT • Jan 2025 • p.21
Steady
1Q tracked
9M FY251 GW per quarter run-rate
Q3 FY25Practically 100% capacity utilization

Solar manufacturing has reached a steady-state maximum utilization of its current capacity, maintaining a consistent run-rate of approximately 1 GW per quarter.

Concall Transcript • Jan 2025 • p.5

“Domestic Solar Module sales surge 40% to 997 MW during the quarter on Y-o-Y basis”

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.4

Mining Services Dispatch

33.3 MMT
14% YoY
Value: 33.3 MMT
Growth: 14% YoY

The company's mining services division is growing its operations, with a significant increase in the volume of minerals moved this year.

Trend Evidence
Q3 FY26
Steady
3Q tracked
Q3 FY2511.8 MMT
9M FY2529.3 MMT
Q3 FY2610.7 MMT
9M FY2633.3 MMT

The mining services volume is showing steady growth on a 9-month basis (14%), although the specific Q3 performance saw a slight 9% dip, suggesting the long-term trend remains healthy despite quarterly volatility.

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.3
Q2 FY26
Accelerating
2Q tracked
Q2 FY258.2 MMT
H1 FY2517.5 MMT
Q2 FY2610.5 MMT
H1 FY2622.6 MMT

Mining services are showing accelerating volume growth, with dispatch volumes up 27% in Q2 FY26 and 29% for the half-year, significantly outperforming the previous year's growth rates.

Investor PPT • Nov 2025 • p.3
Steady
1Q tracked
H1 FY2622.6 MMT (29% growth)

The MDO (Mine Developer and Operator) business is showing strong steady growth, with dispatch volumes up 29% and revenue up 35%, despite currently operating at only 36% of its total contracted capacity.

Concall Transcript • Nov 2025 • p.4
Q1 FY26
Accelerating
3Q tracked
Q1 FY259.3 MMT
FY2543.3 MMT
Q1 FY2612.1 MMT

The mining services segment is showing strong acceleration, with dispatch volumes growing 30% YoY in the latest quarter, significantly higher than the previously noted 14% rate.

Investor PPT • Jul 2025 • p.3
Q4 FY25
Accelerating
2Q tracked
FY2430.9 MMT (implied)
FY2543.3 MMT
Next 18 Months60 MMT (Target)

The mining services business is accelerating significantly, with dispatch volumes reaching 43.3 MMT (a 40% increase) and EBITDA doubling (up 100%) to INR 1,688 crores. Management expects volumes to reach 60 MMT within 18 months.

Concall Transcript • May 2025 • p.3
Steady
4Q tracked
FY2430.9 MMT
FY2543.3 MMT

Mining services are seeing steady volume growth, supported by the commencement of new blocks like Parsa.

Investor PPT • May 2025 • p.28
Q3 FY25
Accelerating
3Q tracked
9M FY2420.2 MMT
9M FY2529.3 MMT (45% growth)
Q3 FY2511.8 MMT (55% growth)

Mining services are showing accelerating volume growth. Q3 FY25 dispatch grew by 55% YoY (11.8 MMT), which is significantly higher than the 9M FY25 average growth of 45% (29.3 MMT).

Investor PPT • Jan 2025 • p.3
Accelerating
1Q tracked
Q3 FY2511.8 MMT dispatch (55% increase)
Q3 FY25INR 354 crores EBITDA (148% increase)

Mining services are showing explosive growth in profitability (EBITDA up 148%) due to a better revenue mix and significantly higher dispatch volumes, which increased 55% in the current quarter.

Concall Transcript • Jan 2025 • p.4

“Mining Services Dispatch (MMT) 9M FY25 29.3 9M FY26 33.3 % change Y-o-Y 14%”

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.3

Capital Raised via Rights Issue

Rs. 24,930 cr
30% oversubscribed
Value: Rs. 24,930 cr
Growth: 30% oversubscribed

The company has successfully raised a massive amount of cash through a 'Rights Issue,' providing a huge war chest to fund its various expansion projects.

Trend Evidence
Q3 FY26
New Trend
1Q tracked
Q3 FY26Rs. 24,930 cr

This represents a massive new capital infusion (NEW_TREND) that significantly strengthens the balance sheet for future incubation of businesses.

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.2
Q2 FY26
New Trend
1Q tracked
Nov 2025Rs. 25,000 cr approved

The board has approved a massive Rs. 25,000 cr Rights Issue to fund the next phase of business incubation, signaling a major new capital infusion trend.

Investor PPT • Nov 2025 • p.2
New Trend
1Q tracked
Nov 2025INR 25,000 crore approved

The board has approved a massive INR 25,000 crore rights issue to deleverage the balance sheet by converting shareholder loans to equity and providing fresh growth capital for airports and green energy.

Concall Transcript • Nov 2025 • p.3
Q3 FY25
New Trend
1Q tracked
Dec 2024USD 1.6 bn cash unlocked from AWL stake sale

While the original signal mentioned a Rights Issue, the current document highlights a strategic exit from the Adani Wilmar (AWL) joint venture, which has unlocked USD 1.6 billion (Rs. 14,200 crore) in cash to fund core infrastructure expansion.

Investor PPT • Jan 2025 • p.19
New Trend
1Q tracked
Q3 FY25INR 14,200 crores proceeds from Wilmar stake sale
Future TargetINR 70,000 crores investment capacity

The company is shifting its capital strategy by divesting non-core stakes (Adani Wilmar) to create a massive investment pool of INR 70,000 crores for core infrastructure, expected to generate a 20x improvement in cash after tax.

Concall Transcript • Jan 2025 • p.3

“Successfully completed Right Issue raising Rs. 24,930 cr, sees oversubscription by 30% from market”

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.2
Capacity Expansion
4
Leading

The company has officially started operations at the new Navi Mumbai Internation

Current: 0Planned: 20 mn pax per annum
25th December 2025

The company has officially started operations at the new Navi Mumbai International Airport, which is a massive addition to their travel infrastructure portfolio.

Trend Evidence
Q3 FY26
New Trend
1Q tracked
Q3 FY26Commenced operations 25th Dec 2025

This is a major new trend as the greenfield airport has moved from the construction phase to the operational phase within five years of acquisition.

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.2
Q2 FY26
New Trend
1Q tracked
Oct 2025Inaugurated
Q3 FY26Commence Operations

The project has transitioned from construction to inauguration (Oct 8, 2025) and is on track to start commercial operations in Q3 FY26, representing a major new revenue stream.

Investor PPT • Nov 2025 • p.2
Accelerating
2Q tracked
Q3 FY26Phase 1 Commencement
FY27INR 30,000 crore Phase 2 acceleration

The Navi Mumbai airport project has transitioned from construction to the operational phase, with Phase 1 starting this quarter and Phase 2 capex of INR 30,000 crores already being accelerated due to high demand.

Concall Transcript • Nov 2025 • p.7
Q1 FY26
Steady
1Q tracked
Q1 FY26Under Construction / Operationalization in FY26

The project is entering its final phase with operationalization expected within the current fiscal year (FY26), which will trigger a significant 'EBITDA unlock'.

Investor PPT • Jul 2025 • p.2
Q4 FY25
New Trend
1Q tracked
Phase 120 million passengers
Phase 260 million passengers

The project is transitioning from construction to operational stabilization. Management confirmed Phase 2 will start immediately after Phase 1 stabilizes, which will further expand capacity from 20 million to 60 million passengers.

Concall Transcript • May 2025 • p.9
New Trend
1Q tracked
FY25Construction ongoing
Q1 FY26Target Operational

The Navi Mumbai Airport project is entering its final execution phase with a clear target for operational unlocking by early FY26.

Investor PPT • May 2025 • p.34
Q3 FY25
Steady
1Q tracked
Q3 FY25First commercial flight validation test conducted
TargetGo live in Q1 FY26

The project has moved from construction to the final validation phase, having successfully conducted the first commercial flight validation test, signaling it is 'a step closer' to operational status in Q1 FY26.

Investor PPT • Jan 2025 • p.35
Steady
1Q tracked
Q3 FY25Flight validation testing conducted
April 2025Scheduled formal launch

The project is in the final stages of operational readiness with commercial flight validation testing completed. The formal launch is scheduled for April 2025, marking a transition from construction to revenue generation.

Concall Transcript • Jan 2025 • p.3

“Greenfield Navi Mumbai International Airport commenced operations from 25th December 2025 with phase I capacity of 20 mn pax per annum”

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.4
Leading

The company is rapidly building out its data center network, recently handing ov

Current: 50+ MWPlanned: 1 GW
by 2030

The company is rapidly building out its data center network, recently handing over a significant amount of new computing capacity to customers in Pune and Hyderabad.

Trend Evidence
Q3 FY26
Accelerating
1Q tracked
Q3 FY2650+ MW total (14.4 MW added in Q3)

The data center business is in an accelerating growth phase, having operationalized 14.4 MW in the current quarter alone, bringing the total to over 50 MW.

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.2
Q2 FY26
Steady
1Q tracked
H1 FY26210+ MW Tied up Capacity
H1 FY26Hyderabad Phase II ~96% complete

The data center business is showing steady execution with Hyderabad Phase II at 96% completion and Pune Phase I/II crossing 90%, moving toward the 1 GW long-term target.

Investor PPT • Nov 2025 • p.20
New Trend
1Q tracked
Nov 2025Google Partnership Executed

The data center business has entered a new growth phase through a strategic partnership with Google to develop India's largest AI data center campus in Andhra.

Concall Transcript • Nov 2025 • p.3
Q1 FY26
Steady
1Q tracked
Q1 FY26210+ MW Tied up Capacity

The data center business is showing steady execution with multiple sites reaching high levels of completion (Pune at 85%, Hyderabad Phase II at 72%).

Investor PPT • Jul 2025 • p.20
Q4 FY25
Accelerating
1Q tracked
Q4 FY2510 MW Operational (Noida)
FY25210+ MW Order Book

Data center capacity is scaling rapidly with the Noida facility now operational and a massive 210+ MW order book secured.

Investor PPT • May 2025 • p.22
Q3 FY25
Steady
1Q tracked
Q3 FY25Hyderabad Phase I (9.6 MW) Operational
Q3 FY25Noida Phase I ~99% complete

The data center rollout is steady with new capacity coming online. Phase I of Hyderabad (9.6 MW) is now fully operational, and Noida Phase I is at 99% completion, maintaining the trajectory toward the 1GW goal.

Investor PPT • Jan 2025 • p.23
Steady
1Q tracked
Q3 FY25270 MW under construction
Q3 FY25210 MW order book

The data center business is maintaining its construction momentum with 210 MW of the order book under near-term completion, despite broader market concerns regarding chip supply.

Concall Transcript • Jan 2025 • p.12

“ACX data center operationalizes 14.4 MW capacity, now operational capacity 50+MW... Target of 1 GW tied-up capacity powered with renewable energy by 2030”

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.2
Leading

The company is expanding its solar manufacturing capabilities with a massive new

Current: 4.0 GW (Operational)Planned: 10.0 GW
Under Construction

The company is expanding its solar manufacturing capabilities with a massive new facility currently under construction to meet future green energy needs.

Trend Evidence
Q4 FY25
Steady
2Q tracked
FY254 GW Operational
FY26-2710 GW Target

The expansion is actively underway with the start of an additional 6 GW cell and module line. Management reaffirmed the goal of a 10 GW fully integrated ecosystem by FY26-FY27, with high sales visibility through existing contracts.

Concall Transcript • May 2025 • p.3
Q3 FY25
Steady
1Q tracked
Current4.5 GW
FY28 Target10 GW

The expansion to 10 GW remains the long-term target for 2028, with current operational capacity reaching 4.5 GW. The next phase of capacity addition is expected to materialize in FY27 or FY28.

Concall Transcript • Jan 2025 • p.11

“Cell & Module (TopCon) 6.0 GW Financial Closure achieved Under Construction”

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.19
Leading

The massive Ganga Expressway project is nearing completion, which will soon beco

Planned: 2,785 lane kms
95%+ complete

The massive Ganga Expressway project is nearing completion, which will soon become a major source of toll revenue for the roads business.

Trend Evidence
Q3 FY26
Steady
2Q tracked
Q2 FY2693% complete
Q3 FY2695%+ complete

The project is nearing its final milestone, showing steady progress from the previous quarter (93%) to 95%+ completion, signaling imminent revenue generation.

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.24
Q2 FY26
Accelerating
2Q tracked
Q2 FY25180.4 L-KM
Q2 FY26456.1 L-KM
H1 FY26949.3 L-KM

Construction progress is accelerating significantly; road construction jumped 153% YoY in Q2 FY26 (456.1 L-KM vs 180.4 L-KM), with the Ganga Expressway segments reaching 87-97% completion.

Investor PPT • Nov 2025 • p.3
Steady
1Q tracked
H1 FY2690% complete

The Ganga Expressway is nearing full completion (90%), which management identifies as a key upcoming 'EBITDA unlock' event for the roads vertical.

Concall Transcript • Nov 2025 • p.2
Q1 FY26
Steady
1Q tracked
Q1 FY2685% complete

Construction is progressing steadily, now crossing the 85% mark, with operationalization and revenue generation expected to begin in FY26.

Investor PPT • Jul 2025 • p.4
Q4 FY25
Steady
1Q tracked
FY25INR 6,200 Cr Capex

The project remains a major focus of the company's capital expenditure, with roads accounting for roughly INR 6,200 crores of the FY25 capex. Operational results are expected to contribute in the next fiscal year.

Concall Transcript • May 2025 • p.7
Accelerating
4Q tracked
FY24514.8 L-KMs
FY252410.1 L-KMs

Road construction is in a hyper-growth phase, with completed lane kilometers increasing nearly five-fold year-over-year as major projects like the Ganga Expressway near completion.

Investor PPT • May 2025 • p.27
Q3 FY25
Steady
2Q tracked
Q2 FY2552-69% completion
Q3 FY2562-78% completion

Construction is progressing steadily across the three main sections (BHRPL, HURPL, UPRPL) with completion levels ranging from 62% to 78%, targeting a 'go live' date within FY26.

Investor PPT • Jan 2025 • p.26

“Ganga Expressway ARTL’s largest BOT project with 2,785 lane kms set to go live, now 95%+ complete”

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.8
Product Pipeline
1
Leading

3.3MW WTG model supply

The company is entering the high-tech wind energy market, having started the supply of its new, larger wind turbine models.

“Wind division started 3.3MW WTG model supply, 12 sets supplied during the quarter”

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.4
Growth Constraint
1

IRM (Integrated Resource Management) Revenue

Rs. 22,068 cr
28% decrease YoY
Value: Rs. 22,068 cr
Growth: 28% decrease YoY

The company is seeing a drop in income from its traditional coal and mineral trading business due to lower market prices and lower volumes.

“IRM Impacted due to low volume and prices (28%)”

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.27
Build-up Timeline
8

CAPACITY_EXPANSION (current: 0 -> 20 mn pax per annum), by 25th December 2025

Accelerating
2Q
8 docs

The Navi Mumbai airport project has transitioned from construction to the operational phase, with Phase 1 starting this quarter and Phase 2 capex of INR 30,000 crores already being accelerated due to high demand.

Data Points
Q3 FY26Phase 1 Commencement
FY27INR 30,000 crore Phase 2 acceleration

“we will do the commercial operation of Phase 1 already this quarter now, and actually Phase 2, we are already starting... it will be in the tune of INR30,000 crores.”

Concall Transcript • Nov 2025 • p.7
Trend Evidence
Q3 FY26
New Trend
1Q tracked
Q3 FY26Commenced operations 25th Dec 2025

This is a major new trend as the greenfield airport has moved from the construction phase to the operational phase within five years of acquisition.

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.2
Q2 FY26
New Trend
1Q tracked
Oct 2025Inaugurated
Q3 FY26Commence Operations

The project has transitioned from construction to inauguration (Oct 8, 2025) and is on track to start commercial operations in Q3 FY26, representing a major new revenue stream.

Investor PPT • Nov 2025 • p.2
Q1 FY26
Steady
1Q tracked
Q1 FY26Under Construction / Operationalization in FY26

The project is entering its final phase with operationalization expected within the current fiscal year (FY26), which will trigger a significant 'EBITDA unlock'.

Investor PPT • Jul 2025 • p.2
Q4 FY25
New Trend
1Q tracked
Phase 120 million passengers
Phase 260 million passengers

The project is transitioning from construction to operational stabilization. Management confirmed Phase 2 will start immediately after Phase 1 stabilizes, which will further expand capacity from 20 million to 60 million passengers.

Concall Transcript • May 2025 • p.9
New Trend
1Q tracked
FY25Construction ongoing
Q1 FY26Target Operational

The Navi Mumbai Airport project is entering its final execution phase with a clear target for operational unlocking by early FY26.

Investor PPT • May 2025 • p.34
Q3 FY25
Steady
1Q tracked
Q3 FY25First commercial flight validation test conducted
TargetGo live in Q1 FY26

The project has moved from construction to the final validation phase, having successfully conducted the first commercial flight validation test, signaling it is 'a step closer' to operational status in Q1 FY26.

Investor PPT • Jan 2025 • p.35
Steady
1Q tracked
Q3 FY25Flight validation testing conducted
April 2025Scheduled formal launch

The project is in the final stages of operational readiness with commercial flight validation testing completed. The formal launch is scheduled for April 2025, marking a transition from construction to revenue generation.

Concall Transcript • Jan 2025 • p.3

Domestic Solar Module sales = 997 MW, growth: 40% YoY

Accelerating
4Q
7 docs

Solar module sales are accelerating significantly, with annual volumes jumping 59% as the company shifts toward higher-efficiency TopCon technology.

Data Points
FY242679 MW
FY254263 MW

“Module sale increased by 59% y-o-y basis to 4263 MW”

Investor PPT • May 2025 • p.20
Trend Evidence
Q3 FY26
Accelerating
3Q tracked
Q3 FY25893 MW
9M FY253273 MW
Q3 FY26997 MW
9M FY263440 MW

While quarterly domestic sales surged 40%, the overall 9M volume growth is steady at 5%, indicating a recent sharp acceleration in domestic demand despite a slower start to the year.

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.3
Q2 FY26
Steady
2Q tracked
Q2 FY251001 MW
H1 FY252380 MW
Q2 FY261093 MW
H1 FY262443 MW

While overall H1 volume growth is steady at 3%, the Q2 FY26 performance shows a stronger 9% YoY growth in module sales, indicating a pick-up in momentum.

Investor PPT • Nov 2025 • p.3
Decelerating
1Q tracked
Q2 FY261.093 GW (100% capacity)
H1 FY26-14% EBITDA impact

While underlying sales volumes remain at nearly 100% capacity utilization (approx 1.1 GW), the revenue and EBITDA are facing a temporary deceleration due to U.S. tariff uncertainties and pricing rationalization.

Concall Transcript • Nov 2025 • p.5
Q1 FY26
Decelerating
3Q tracked
Q1 FY251,379 MW
FY254,263 MW
Q1 FY261,350 MW

While the previous signal noted 40% growth, the current Q1 FY26 data shows a slight 2% dip in volume, indicating a stabilization or minor deceleration in the short term despite high overall capacity.

Investor PPT • Jul 2025 • p.3
Q3 FY25
Accelerating
3Q tracked
9M FY241,882 MW
9M FY253,273 MW (74% growth)
Q3 FY25893 MW (40% growth)

Solar module sales are accelerating significantly. While Q3 FY25 saw 40% YoY growth (893 MW), the full 9M FY25 performance shows a massive 74% increase to 3,273 MW, driven by a 176% surge in domestic sales.

Investor PPT • Jan 2025 • p.21
Steady
1Q tracked
9M FY251 GW per quarter run-rate
Q3 FY25Practically 100% capacity utilization

Solar manufacturing has reached a steady-state maximum utilization of its current capacity, maintaining a consistent run-rate of approximately 1 GW per quarter.

Concall Transcript • Jan 2025 • p.5

CAPACITY_EXPANSION -> 2,785 lane kms), by 95%+ complete

Accelerating
4Q
7 docs

Road construction is in a hyper-growth phase, with completed lane kilometers increasing nearly five-fold year-over-year as major projects like the Ganga Expressway near completion.

Data Points
FY24514.8 L-KMs
FY252410.1 L-KMs

“Construction of Roads (L-KMs) FY24 514.8 FY25 2410.1 % change 3.7x”

Investor PPT • May 2025 • p.27
Trend Evidence
Q3 FY26
Steady
2Q tracked
Q2 FY2693% complete
Q3 FY2695%+ complete

The project is nearing its final milestone, showing steady progress from the previous quarter (93%) to 95%+ completion, signaling imminent revenue generation.

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.24
Q2 FY26
Accelerating
2Q tracked
Q2 FY25180.4 L-KM
Q2 FY26456.1 L-KM
H1 FY26949.3 L-KM

Construction progress is accelerating significantly; road construction jumped 153% YoY in Q2 FY26 (456.1 L-KM vs 180.4 L-KM), with the Ganga Expressway segments reaching 87-97% completion.

Investor PPT • Nov 2025 • p.3
Steady
1Q tracked
H1 FY2690% complete

The Ganga Expressway is nearing full completion (90%), which management identifies as a key upcoming 'EBITDA unlock' event for the roads vertical.

Concall Transcript • Nov 2025 • p.2
Q1 FY26
Steady
1Q tracked
Q1 FY2685% complete

Construction is progressing steadily, now crossing the 85% mark, with operationalization and revenue generation expected to begin in FY26.

Investor PPT • Jul 2025 • p.4
Q4 FY25
Steady
1Q tracked
FY25INR 6,200 Cr Capex

The project remains a major focus of the company's capital expenditure, with roads accounting for roughly INR 6,200 crores of the FY25 capex. Operational results are expected to contribute in the next fiscal year.

Concall Transcript • May 2025 • p.7
Q3 FY25
Steady
2Q tracked
Q2 FY2552-69% completion
Q3 FY2562-78% completion

Construction is progressing steadily across the three main sections (BHRPL, HURPL, UPRPL) with completion levels ranging from 62% to 78%, targeting a 'go live' date within FY26.

Investor PPT • Jan 2025 • p.26

Capital Raised via Rights Issue

New Trend
1Q
5 docs

While the original signal mentioned a Rights Issue, the current document highlights a strategic exit from the Adani Wilmar (AWL) joint venture, which has unlocked USD 1.6 billion (Rs. 14,200 crore) in cash to fund core infrastructure expansion.

Data Points
Dec 2024USD 1.6 bn cash unlocked from AWL stake sale

“Cumulative post-tax equity of ~USD 1.6 bn available for investments on core infrastructure businesses... from AWL exit”

Investor PPT • Jan 2025 • p.19
Trend Evidence
Q3 FY26
New Trend
1Q tracked
Q3 FY26Rs. 24,930 cr

This represents a massive new capital infusion (NEW_TREND) that significantly strengthens the balance sheet for future incubation of businesses.

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.2
Q2 FY26
New Trend
1Q tracked
Nov 2025Rs. 25,000 cr approved

The board has approved a massive Rs. 25,000 cr Rights Issue to fund the next phase of business incubation, signaling a major new capital infusion trend.

Investor PPT • Nov 2025 • p.2
New Trend
1Q tracked
Nov 2025INR 25,000 crore approved

The board has approved a massive INR 25,000 crore rights issue to deleverage the balance sheet by converting shareholder loans to equity and providing fresh growth capital for airports and green energy.

Concall Transcript • Nov 2025 • p.3
Q3 FY25
New Trend
1Q tracked
Q3 FY25INR 14,200 crores proceeds from Wilmar stake sale
Future TargetINR 70,000 crores investment capacity

The company is shifting its capital strategy by divesting non-core stakes (Adani Wilmar) to create a massive investment pool of INR 70,000 crores for core infrastructure, expected to generate a 20x improvement in cash after tax.

Concall Transcript • Jan 2025 • p.3

Airports Total Income = Rs. 3,770 cr, growth: 28% YoY

Steady
4Q
8 docs

The airport business is showing steady, high-double-digit growth in revenue and profitability as passenger traffic scales up.

Data Points
FY24Rs. 8,062 cr
FY25Rs. 10,224 cr

“Airports Total Income FY24 8,062 FY25 10,224 % change Y-o-Y 27%”

Investor PPT • May 2025 • p.3
Trend Evidence
Q3 FY26
Accelerating
3Q tracked
Q3 FY25Rs. 2,939 cr
9M FY25Rs. 7,393 cr
Q3 FY26Rs. 3,770 cr
9M FY26Rs. 9,652 cr

The airport business is showing strong acceleration in revenue growth, with 9M FY26 income up 31% compared to the previous year, significantly outpacing the quarterly 28% growth rate.

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.3
Q2 FY26
Accelerating
2Q tracked
Q2 FY25Rs. 2,276 cr
H1 FY25Rs. 4,453 cr
Q2 FY26Rs. 3,167 cr
H1 FY26Rs. 5,882 cr

The airport business is showing strong acceleration in revenue growth, jumping from 32% YoY growth in H1 FY25 to 39% in Q2 FY26, driven by tariff revisions and non-aero expansion.

Investor PPT • Nov 2025 • p.3
Accelerating
1Q tracked
H1 FY26INR 5,882 crores revenue (32% growth)

The airport vertical is showing accelerating financial performance with revenue growth of 32% and EBITDA growth of 51% for H1 FY26, driven by tariff revisions and a 34% jump in non-aero income per passenger.

Concall Transcript • Nov 2025 • p.4
Q1 FY26
Accelerating
3Q tracked
Q1 FY25Rs. 2,177 Cr
FY25Rs. 10,224 Cr
Q1 FY26Rs. 2,715 Cr

The Airports business is showing strong acceleration in both revenue and profitability, with EBITDA growth significantly outstripping income growth due to operational efficiencies and tariff revisions.

Investor PPT • Jul 2025 • p.3
Q4 FY25
Accelerating
2Q tracked
FY24INR 2,433 Cr EBITDA (implied)
FY25INR 3,480 Cr EBITDA
Q4 FY25INR 1,000 Cr EBITDA (Run-rate)

The airport business is showing strong momentum with EBITDA growing 43% YoY to INR 3,480 crores for FY25. Management indicates a current run rate of INR 1,000 crores per quarter, with expectations to reach INR 4,500-5,000 crores in the coming quarters as non-aero revenue scales.

Concall Transcript • May 2025 • p.3
Q3 FY25
Accelerating
3Q tracked
9M FY24Rs. 5,866 cr
9M FY25Rs. 7,393 cr
Q3 FY25Rs. 2,939 cr (33% YoY growth)

The airport segment is showing steady to accelerating growth, with 9M FY25 income reaching Rs. 7,393 cr (up 26%) and Q3 FY25 specifically hitting Rs. 2,939 cr (up 33% YoY), indicating a pick-up in the most recent quarter.

Investor PPT • Jan 2025 • p.3
Accelerating
2Q tracked
Q2 FY25INR 744 crores EBITDA
Q3 FY25INR 1,100 crores EBITDA

The airport business is showing strong acceleration in profitability, with EBITDA growing 43% in the nine-month period, significantly outpacing passenger volume growth of 7%. This indicates successful monetization of non-aero services and new tariff implementations.

Concall Transcript • Jan 2025 • p.5

Data Center capacity expansion to 1 GW by 2030

Steady
1Q
7 docs

The data center rollout is steady with new capacity coming online. Phase I of Hyderabad (9.6 MW) is now fully operational, and Noida Phase I is at 99% completion, maintaining the trajectory toward the 1GW goal.

Data Points
Q3 FY25Hyderabad Phase I (9.6 MW) Operational
Q3 FY25Noida Phase I ~99% complete

“Phase I of Hyderabad Data Center with capacity of 9.6 MW fully operational... Noida Completion ~99%”

Investor PPT • Jan 2025 • p.23
Trend Evidence
Q3 FY26
Accelerating
1Q tracked
Q3 FY2650+ MW total (14.4 MW added in Q3)

The data center business is in an accelerating growth phase, having operationalized 14.4 MW in the current quarter alone, bringing the total to over 50 MW.

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.2
Q2 FY26
Steady
1Q tracked
H1 FY26210+ MW Tied up Capacity
H1 FY26Hyderabad Phase II ~96% complete

The data center business is showing steady execution with Hyderabad Phase II at 96% completion and Pune Phase I/II crossing 90%, moving toward the 1 GW long-term target.

Investor PPT • Nov 2025 • p.20
New Trend
1Q tracked
Nov 2025Google Partnership Executed

The data center business has entered a new growth phase through a strategic partnership with Google to develop India's largest AI data center campus in Andhra.

Concall Transcript • Nov 2025 • p.3
Q1 FY26
Steady
1Q tracked
Q1 FY26210+ MW Tied up Capacity

The data center business is showing steady execution with multiple sites reaching high levels of completion (Pune at 85%, Hyderabad Phase II at 72%).

Investor PPT • Jul 2025 • p.20
Q4 FY25
Accelerating
1Q tracked
Q4 FY2510 MW Operational (Noida)
FY25210+ MW Order Book

Data center capacity is scaling rapidly with the Noida facility now operational and a massive 210+ MW order book secured.

Investor PPT • May 2025 • p.22
Q3 FY25
Steady
1Q tracked
Q3 FY25270 MW under construction
Q3 FY25210 MW order book

The data center business is maintaining its construction momentum with 210 MW of the order book under near-term completion, despite broader market concerns regarding chip supply.

Concall Transcript • Jan 2025 • p.12

Mining Services Dispatch = 33.3 MMT, growth: 14% YoY

Steady
4Q
8 docs

Mining services are seeing steady volume growth, supported by the commencement of new blocks like Parsa.

Data Points
FY2430.9 MMT
FY2543.3 MMT

“Mining Services Dispatch (MMT) FY24 30.9 FY25 43.3 % change 40%”

Investor PPT • May 2025 • p.28
Trend Evidence
Q3 FY26
Steady
3Q tracked
Q3 FY2511.8 MMT
9M FY2529.3 MMT
Q3 FY2610.7 MMT
9M FY2633.3 MMT

The mining services volume is showing steady growth on a 9-month basis (14%), although the specific Q3 performance saw a slight 9% dip, suggesting the long-term trend remains healthy despite quarterly volatility.

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.3
Q2 FY26
Accelerating
2Q tracked
Q2 FY258.2 MMT
H1 FY2517.5 MMT
Q2 FY2610.5 MMT
H1 FY2622.6 MMT

Mining services are showing accelerating volume growth, with dispatch volumes up 27% in Q2 FY26 and 29% for the half-year, significantly outperforming the previous year's growth rates.

Investor PPT • Nov 2025 • p.3
Steady
1Q tracked
H1 FY2622.6 MMT (29% growth)

The MDO (Mine Developer and Operator) business is showing strong steady growth, with dispatch volumes up 29% and revenue up 35%, despite currently operating at only 36% of its total contracted capacity.

Concall Transcript • Nov 2025 • p.4
Q1 FY26
Accelerating
3Q tracked
Q1 FY259.3 MMT
FY2543.3 MMT
Q1 FY2612.1 MMT

The mining services segment is showing strong acceleration, with dispatch volumes growing 30% YoY in the latest quarter, significantly higher than the previously noted 14% rate.

Investor PPT • Jul 2025 • p.3
Q4 FY25
Accelerating
2Q tracked
FY2430.9 MMT (implied)
FY2543.3 MMT
Next 18 Months60 MMT (Target)

The mining services business is accelerating significantly, with dispatch volumes reaching 43.3 MMT (a 40% increase) and EBITDA doubling (up 100%) to INR 1,688 crores. Management expects volumes to reach 60 MMT within 18 months.

Concall Transcript • May 2025 • p.3
Q3 FY25
Accelerating
3Q tracked
9M FY2420.2 MMT
9M FY2529.3 MMT (45% growth)
Q3 FY2511.8 MMT (55% growth)

Mining services are showing accelerating volume growth. Q3 FY25 dispatch grew by 55% YoY (11.8 MMT), which is significantly higher than the 9M FY25 average growth of 45% (29.3 MMT).

Investor PPT • Jan 2025 • p.3
Accelerating
1Q tracked
Q3 FY2511.8 MMT dispatch (55% increase)
Q3 FY25INR 354 crores EBITDA (148% increase)

Mining services are showing explosive growth in profitability (EBITDA up 148%) due to a better revenue mix and significantly higher dispatch volumes, which increased 55% in the current quarter.

Concall Transcript • Jan 2025 • p.4

Solar Manufacturing Capacity Expansion (4.0 GW -> 10.0 GW)

Steady
2Q
2 docs

The expansion is actively underway with the start of an additional 6 GW cell and module line. Management reaffirmed the goal of a 10 GW fully integrated ecosystem by FY26-FY27, with high sales visibility through existing contracts.

Data Points
FY254 GW Operational
FY26-2710 GW Target

“In the solar business, the expansion of another 6 GW cell and module line has started... the entire ecosystem... will be a 10 GW ecosystem, once fully completed.”

Concall Transcript • May 2025 • p.3
Trend Evidence
Q3 FY25
Steady
1Q tracked
Current4.5 GW
FY28 Target10 GW

The expansion to 10 GW remains the long-term target for 2028, with current operational capacity reaching 4.5 GW. The next phase of capacity addition is expected to materialize in FY27 or FY28.

Concall Transcript • Jan 2025 • p.11
External Prospects

POSITIVE
0-12 months

The planned expansion of 2,785 lane kms, specifically the Ganga Expressway, acts as a near-term catalyst for construction material consumption and future toll revenue. This infrastructure push aligns with India's national logistics policy, providing a multi-year demand floor for the company's road and materials segments.

“Adani Enterprises Limited... operates through the Integrated Resources Management (IRM), Mining Services, Commercial Mining, New Energy Ecosystem, Airport, Road, and Others segments.”

Adani Enterprises Limited (ADANIENT.NS) - Yahoo Finance

POSITIVE
1-3 years

The rapid build-out of 1 GW data center capacity and the supply of 3.3MW wind turbines mark Adani's entry into high-tech industrial services. These initiatives target the accelerating demand for digital infrastructure and green energy, diversifying the company's revenue streams away from traditional materials.

“The company is rapidly building out its data center network... recently handing over a significant amount of new computing capacity to customers in Pune and Hyderabad.”

Adani Enterprises Limited (ADANIENT.NS) - Yahoo Finance

NEGATIVE
0-6 months

Lower global coal and mineral prices are compressing margins in the Integrated Resources Management (IRM) segment, acting as a significant headwind. This margin pressure is accelerating the company's strategic pivot toward higher-margin infrastructure and manufacturing assets like airports and solar modules.

“The company is seeing a drop in income from its traditional coal and mineral trading business due to lower market prices and lower volumes.”

Adani Enterprises Limited (ADANIENT.NS) - Yahoo Finance

POSITIVE
1-3 years

The 14% YoY growth in Mining Services dispatch to 33.3 MMT indicates a steady scaling of operational capacity, which offsets volatility in pure trading volumes. This volume growth is a structural signal of Adani's transition from a trader to a long-term service provider for India's mineral security.

“Mining Services, Commercial Mining, New Energy Ecosystem... operates in the new energy ecosystem, data center, airports, roads, copper, digital space.”

Adani Enterprises Limited (ADANIENT.NS) - Yahoo Finance
POSITIVE
3+ years

The commissioning of the Navi Mumbai International Airport and the expansion of solar manufacturing to 10 GW represent a massive shift toward regulated, annuity-like income. These projects provide a structural growth tailwind that reduces the company's historical dependence on cyclical commodity trading.

“Adani Enterprises Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates in the new energy ecosystem, data center, airports, roads, copper, digital space.”

Adani Enterprises Limited (ADANIENT.NS) - Yahoo Finance
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64
Risk Pressure Score

MODERATE risk • 8 risks identified ·

2
High
18
Mitigated
8
Quantified
Top Risks
4
1
Execution
MODERATE
Construction Mineral Demand for Infrastructure
53
The Risk
Execution
Medium
Roads

The company's road construction business experienced a sharp slowdown in the actual amount of road built during the recent quarter.

Quantification

Road construction (L-KM) fell 51% in Q3 FY26 compared to Q3 FY25

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.3
Current Trajectory
Stable
Medium
Q4 FY25

Execution risk remains a focus as the company plans significant capex (INR 6,200 crores) for roads in the coming year, including the Ganga Expressway. However, the CFO noted that operational results for these roads will only start reflecting in the next year.

Mitigation

Management is prioritizing the completion of the Ganga Expressway and has fully accounted for the capital required for these projects.

Concall Transcript • May 2025 • p.5
Easing
Low
Q4 FY25

Execution risk has significantly eased. Road construction surged from 514.8 L-KM in FY24 to 2,410.1 L-KM in FY25, a 3.7x increase, showing massive acceleration in project delivery.

Mitigation

Achieved financial closure and accelerated construction on the Ganga Expressway (BHRPL, HURPL, UPRPL projects).

Investor PPT • May 2025 • p.3
Stable
Medium
Q1 FY26

Execution risk remains evident as road construction fell to 493.2 L-KM in Q1 FY26, a 32% decrease compared to 730.0 L-KM in Q1 FY25.

Investor PPT • Jul 2025 • p.3
Easing
Low
Q2 FY26

The risk is EASING as seven road projects are now complete and the major Ganga Expressway project is 90% complete, indicating a return to execution milestones.

Concall Transcript • Nov 2025 • p.2
Intensifying
High
Q3 FY26

Execution risk remains high as construction volume fell 51% in Q3 FY26 (391.7 L-KM) vs Q3 FY25 (805.1 L-KM). 9M figures also show a 22% decline.

Mitigation

Management notes that the Ganga Expressway is now 95%+ complete, which may explain the shift in construction intensity as projects move toward operations.

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.3
2
Risk
Gross Trading Margin per Tonne
The Risk
Margin & Cost
Medium
ANIL Ecosystem

The solar manufacturing business (ANIL) is facing lower profit margins because the prices it can charge for solar modules have fallen and new government taxes (tariffs) have been applied.

Quantification

ANIL EBITDA down 8% in 9M-26 due to lower realization and levy of tariff

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.27
Current Trajectory
Easing
Low
Q4 FY25

The risk is easing as operational efficiency and improved realizations have led to a 108% increase in ANIL EBITDA (to Rs. 4,776 cr) despite the pricing environment, outstripping the 63% revenue growth.

Mitigation

Improving operational efficiency and scaling capacity (6 GW expansion started) to achieve better economies of scale.

Investor PPT • May 2025 • p.4
Stable
High
Q2 FY26

The risk remains high as EBITDA for established businesses (IRM and Mining) fell by 35% YoY in H1-26. Management explicitly attributes this to price volatility and decreased trade volumes.

Investor PPT • Nov 2025 • p.7
Stable
High
Q2 FY26

The risk remains STABLE as the trading business continues to face cyclicality and price volatility driven by geopolitical issues, impacting financial results for the half-year.

Concall Transcript • Nov 2025 • p.3
Intensifying
High
Q3 FY26

The risk remains high as the 'Established Businesses' segment (primarily IRM and Mining) continues to see a decline in EBITDA, dropping from Rs. 4,703 cr in 9M-25 to Rs. 3,761 cr in 9M-26, a 20% decrease.

Mitigation

Management is pivoting focus toward 'Incubating Businesses' like Airports and Green Hydrogen to offset the volatility in the trading and mining segments.

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.7
3
Margin & Cost
High
Total Volume Handled Annually
69
The Risk
Demand
Medium
IRM

The Integrated Resource Management (trading) segment is seeing a significant decline in both the volume of goods moved and the revenue generated.

Quantification

IRM Volume (MMT) down 14% in 9M FY26; Revenue down 28%

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.3
Current Trajectory
Intensifying
Medium
Q2 FY26

IRM volumes dropped 17% YoY in H1-26 (from 29.1 MMT to 24.1 MMT), leading to a 29% decline in segment revenue. This confirms a sustained slowdown in the trading business.

Investor PPT • Nov 2025 • p.27
Intensifying
High
Q3 FY26

The decline is continuing; IRM volumes fell 14% in 9M-26 (35.3 MMT) compared to 9M-25 (41.2 MMT), leading to a 28% drop in segment revenue.

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.27
Easing
Medium
Q4 FY25

The Integrated Resource Management (IRM) and Mining services segments are showing a strong recovery in profitability. Mining services EBITDA doubled (up 100%) to INR 1,688 crores, and IRM delivered a solid EBITDA of INR 3,585 crores. Volume in mining services increased by 40%.

Mitigation

Management is shifting focus toward higher-margin mining services contracts (13 service contracts now active) and operationalizing commercial mines like Carmichael to reach rated capacity.

Concall Transcript • May 2025 • p.3
Stable
Medium
Q4 FY25

The IRM segment appears to have bottomed out. While management expects volumes to remain 'flat' in the near term, the current EBITDA contribution of INR 3,585 crores suggests the business has stabilized at a profitable level despite lower historical volumes.

Concall Transcript • May 2025 • p.6
Stable
High
Q4 FY25

The IRM segment continues to face severe pressure with annual revenue dropping 34% and EBITDA falling 31% due to lower volumes. However, Mining Services is showing a strong counter-trend with EBITDA doubling (103% growth) to Rs. 1,688 cr, partially offsetting IRM's weakness.

Mitigation

Diversifying the 'Established' portfolio by scaling Mining Services (40% volume growth) to offset the structural decline in IRM trading volumes.

Investor PPT • May 2025 • p.31
4
Balance Sheet
High
Other Findings
69
The Risk
Balance Sheet
High
Consolidated

The company has a high level of debt, which has increased significantly as it spends heavily to build new infrastructure like airports and green energy plants.

Quantification

Net External Debt increased to Rs. 62,129 cr in Dec-25 from Rs. 30,966 cr in Mar-24

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.31
Current Trajectory
Intensifying
High
Q4 FY25

Debt levels have intensified significantly. Gross debt rose from Rs. 50,124 cr in Mar-24 to Rs. 76,236 cr in Mar-25 (a 52% increase) to fund massive infrastructure projects like the Ganga Expressway and Navi Mumbai Airport.

Mitigation

Management secured financial closure of Rs. 5,500 crore for ANIL expansion and is utilizing 'Shareholder Loans' (Rs. 19,968 cr) to manage external debt ratios.

Investor PPT • May 2025 • p.35
Intensifying
High
Q1 FY26

Debt levels have continued to climb as the company funds its 'incubating' assets. Gross debt rose to Rs. 86,456 cr in June 2025 from Rs. 50,124 cr in March 2024, driven by airport and road projects.

Mitigation

Management is utilizing External Commercial Borrowings (ECB) and project financing (USD 1.75 billion secured for airports) to manage liquidity and refinance existing debt.

Investor PPT • Jul 2025 • p.28
Intensifying
High
Q1 FY26

The interest coverage ratio has deteriorated further to 2.6 in Q1 FY26, down from 3.4 in FY25, indicating a reduced cushion to meet interest obligations as debt grows.

Investor PPT • Jul 2025 • p.27
Intensifying
High
Q1 FY26

The DSCR has dropped sharply to 1.8 in Q1 FY26 from 2.6 in FY25, suggesting that the company's current cash flows are providing significantly less coverage for its debt obligations.

Investor PPT • Jul 2025 • p.27
Intensifying
High
Q2 FY26

Net External Debt has surged to Rs. 60,070 cr as of Sep-25, nearly doubling from Rs. 30,966 cr in Mar-24. This indicates a rapid worsening of the debt profile to fund long-gestation projects.

Mitigation

AEL Board approved a Rights Issue of Rs. 25,000 cr to strengthen the balance sheet and support the next phase of incubation.

Investor PPT • Nov 2025 • p.31
Severity
8
risks
HIGH: 2
MEDIUM: 6
Categories
Evolution
RiskMay 2025Jul 2025Nov 2025Feb 2026

The company's established businesses, particularly Integrated Resource Manage...

HIGH
Margin & Cost

The company has a high level of debt, which has increased significantly as it...

HIGH
Balance Sheet

The company's ability to cover its interest payments from its earnings has we...

MEDIUM
Balance Sheet

The solar manufacturing business (ANIL) is facing lower profit margins becaus...

MEDIUM
Margin & Cost

The company's road construction business experienced a sharp slowdown in the ...

MEDIUM
Execution

The company relies heavily on its own internal loans (shareholder loans) to f...

MEDIUM
Balance Sheet
——
—

The Integrated Resource Management (trading) segment is seeing a significant ...

MEDIUM
Demand
—

The company's debt service coverage ratio—a measure of its ability to pay bac...

MEDIUM
Balance Sheet
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The adoption of AI tools in operations like ENOC and AOCC (first-order) serves as a testing ground for broader workforce optimization and margin expansion (second-order). This operational maturity, combined with the massive build-out of AdaniConneX, positions the company to capture the systemic shift toward AI infrastructure dependency (third-order). By securing 210+ MW of tied-up capacity and targeting 1 GW, the company is evolving from a diversified conglomerate into a critical utility for the global AI economy.

[First order] AI/GenAI tool adoption in operations → [applies: demonstrated through ENOC and AOCC centers to optimize logistics] → [Second order] Workforce restructuring and optimization → [applies: management is explicitly linking tech-leadership to margin expansion and service-based models] → [Third order] AI infrastructure dependency → [implication: Adani becomes a systemic gatekeeper for India's compute capacity, ensuring long-term annuity-like revenue]

Critical Assessment

While management excels at the infrastructure layer, there is a notable lack of evidence regarding AI R&D spending or proprietary model development, suggesting they are 'landlords' rather than 'architects' of AI. The claim of creating a 'data moat' is also questionable; while they own the physical facilities, the high-value data typically resides with the tenants (hyperscalers), not the infrastructure provider. Management is currently ignoring the risk of AI regulation and potential sovereign data localization laws that could complicate their partnership with global entities like Google.

Positive Impact (4)
Adani Enterprises is structurally positioned as a major beneficiary of the AI Revolution through its AdaniConneX (ACX) data center business. AI requires massive computing power, which directly drives demand for the data center capacity the company is rapidly building out. The company has already operationalized 50+ MW and is targeting 1 GW of capacity by 2030.

50+ MW operational capacity; 1 GW target by 2030

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.2
The company is implementing AI-enabled digital transformation across its core infrastructure assets, such as the Energy Network Operation Center (ENOC) and Airport Operations Control Center (AOCC). This suggests a first-order effect of adopting AI tools to automate manual workflows and optimize complex logistics operations.

Infrastructure (Airports, Utility, Transport)

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.13
Adani's data center expansion is a direct response to the systemic shift toward AI infrastructure dependency. By securing 210+ MW of tied-up capacity, the company is creating a 'data moat' and structural advantage, as AI-native companies will require these specialized facilities to run large-scale models.

210+ MW Tied up Capacity

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.20
Management is positioning the 'Adani Portfolio' as a tech-backed ecosystem where AI-driven efficiencies (second-order effect) lead to margin expansion. They explicitly link 'technological leadership' to their mission of incubating globally competitive businesses, suggesting they view AI as a tool for workforce optimization and operational excellence.

Consolidated

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.3
Outlook Scenarios
Bull Case

Adani successfully integrates its $100B renewable energy commitment with its 1 GW data center target, becoming the world's lowest-cost provider of 'Green AI' compute. This vertical integration creates an insurmountable cost advantage that attracts every major global hyperscaler to their Indian campuses.

Base Case

The company maintains its lead in the physical AI infrastructure layer, successfully operationalizing its tied-up capacity and seeing steady margin improvement from digitalizing its airports and energy assets, though it remains dependent on external technology partners for the software layer.

Bear Case

Execution delays in the 1 GW build-out or a shift in AI architecture toward decentralized/edge computing reduces the demand for massive hyperscale centers. Additionally, high debt levels could limit the company's ability to keep pace with the rapid hardware refresh cycles required for AI-ready facilities.

The conflict triggers immediate crude oil price volatility and shipping disruptions, which compress margins and reduce volumes in Adani’s legacy Integrated Resource Management (IRM) segment. However, these first-order shocks catalyze a second-order surge in domestic defense procurement and trade route realignments, directly benefiting the company’s specialized manufacturing and logistics verticals. Ultimately, this accelerates the third-order structural shift toward the Green Hydrogen (ANIL) ecosystem, as the conflict reinforces the urgent need for energy transition to hedge against Middle Eastern supply uncertainty.

[First order] Crude oil price volatility → [applies: directly compresses IRM trading margins and reduces YoY revenue by 28%] → [Second order] Trade route realignment costs → [applies: evidenced by the 14-17% decline in IRM volumes as logistics become more expensive] → [Third order] Energy transition acceleration → [implication for company: validates the Rs. 25,000 cr investment in Green Hydrogen as a structural hedge against fossil fuel volatility]

Critical Assessment

Management's narrative focuses heavily on the Green Hydrogen pivot, yet the 14% decline in ANIL EBITDA suggests that even 'green' segments are currently vulnerable to the same global trade disruptions affecting coal. Furthermore, while the company highlights defense as a growth driver, the lack of granular financial reporting for this segment makes it difficult to verify if it can truly offset the significant 31% EBITDA drop in the IRM business. The company is notably silent on the impact of rising marine insurance premiums, which could further erode trading margins if the conflict escalates.

Positive Impact (2)
Adani Enterprises is structurally pivoting toward a Green Hydrogen ecosystem (ANIL), which serves as a long-term hedge against Middle Eastern energy supply uncertainty and fossil fuel disruptions caused by conflicts involving Iran.

Target of 1 GW tied-up capacity powered with renewable energy by 2030

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.20
The company's specialized manufacturing segment, which includes defense and aerospace equipment, is positioned to benefit from increased regional defense spending and supply chain shifts resulting from heightened geopolitical conflicts.

Specialized Manufacturing (Defense)

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.11
Negative Impact (2)
The company's Integrated Resource Management (IRM) and Commercial Mining segments are experiencing significant financial pressure due to price volatility in commodities, a direct consequence of global energy market instability often linked to Middle Eastern geopolitical tensions.

EBITDA for established businesses impacted by price volatility in IRM; IRM revenue down 28% YoY in 9M-26

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.7
The IRM (Integrated Resource Management) business, which involves global coal and mineral trading, is seeing a decline in volumes and prices, likely exacerbated by trade route disruptions and increased marine insurance costs associated with conflict zones.

IRM volume down 14% in 9M-26 (35.3 MMT vs 41.2 MMT)

Investor PPT • Feb 2026 • p.25
Outlook Scenarios
Bull Case

The Indian government initiates an emergency ₹80,000 Cr defense procurement surge where Adani’s manufacturing captures significant market share, while Brent crude at $120/barrel forces a rapid, state-subsidized transition to Green Hydrogen, making Adani the primary energy provider for a self-reliant India.

Base Case

The legacy IRM business continues to see volume declines and margin pressure, but this is gradually offset by the maturation of the Defense segment (already contributing ₹500cr EBITDA) and steady progress in the Green Hydrogen ecosystem, resulting in a more resilient, albeit capital-intensive, portfolio.

Bear Case

Prolonged shipping disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz lead to a 'six-sigma' shock that crashes global trade volumes, causing the IRM business to collapse before the Green Hydrogen and Defense segments reach the scale necessary to support the company's high debt-servicing requirements.