Analysis published 12 Aug 2026

AI-generated · cited to primary sources · not investment advice

Palantir Technologies Inc. - Class A Common Stock (PLTR) Dec 2025 Filing Analysis

02 · Business Model

How durable is the business?

Vertical AI Applications
80/100

Commercial became the faster-growing segment and gained revenue share. Revenue increased 60% year over year, from $1.30 billion to $2.07 billion, while its share rose from approximately 45% to 46%. U.S. commercial revenue was especially strong, increasing 109% year over year to approximately $1.5 billion. (1 expanding)

Revenue from commercial customers increased by $777.3 million, or 60%, for the year ended December 31, 2025 compared to 2024... Revenue from U.S. commercial customers was $1.5 billion for the year ended December 31, 2025 compared to $702.3 million for the same period in 2024, a 109% increase.

Palantir Technologies Inc. - Class A Common Stock · Annual Report · Dec 2025 · p.75
SBC, Dilution, and Free Cash Flow
50/100

The balance-sheet position remained strong, but the reported cash and short-term Treasury balance was lower than the prior-year comparison implied by the earlier extracted finding. At December 31, 2025, Palantir held $7.2 billion of cash, cash equivalents, and short-term U.S. Treasury securities, had no debt, and generated $2.1 billion of operating cash flow during FY2025. This is strong liquidity, but the previously extracted $9.2 billion and first-half 2026 operating cash flow figures are not comparable to this FY2025 filing. (1 shifted)

As of December 31, 2025, our principal sources of liquidity were cash, cash equivalents, and short-term U.S. Treasury securities totaling $7.2 billion... We generated positive cash flow from operations for the year ended December 31, 2025.

Palantir Technologies Inc. - Class A Common Stock · Annual Report · Dec 2025 · p.77

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04 · Risk

What could break the thesis?

RPO, Billings, and Backlog

The reported remaining deal value increased sharply to $11.2 billion from $5.4 billion, but the filing explicitly states that it assumes all customer options are exercised and no contracts are terminated. Only $4.1 billion qualifies as noncancelable remaining performance obligations, and many contracts remain cancellable. The larger headline pipeline therefore increases potential upside but also increases the gap between reported deal value and enforceable revenue. (2 intensifying, 1 easing, 2 stable)

As of December 31, 2025, the total remaining deal value... was $11.2 billion... Total remaining deal value presumes the exercise of all contract options available to our customers and no termination of contracts... many of our contracts are subject to termination provisions, including for convenience.

Palantir Technologies Inc. - Class A Common Stock · Annual Report · Dec 2025 · p.75

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